GREECE - GAMMA ETHNIKI
14:00Sun 8 Nov
AER
AA
Ethnikos OFPF vs Aer Afantou
CLASS D
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Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ethnikos OFPF are 6th on 7 points after 6 games, 3 points behind Diagoras, level on points with PAO Rouf. A win would take them level on points with Diagoras. Aer Afantou are 4th on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Apollon Smirnis, 4 points clear of Diagoras. A win would take them above Apollon Smirnis.
Form. Ethnikos OFPF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. Aer Afantou have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Ethnikos OFPF score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ethnikos OFPF average 9.4 shots (3.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Aer Afantou score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aer Afantou average 7.1 shots (1.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ethnikos OFPF 1-1 Aer Afantou (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Ethnikos OFPF the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Ethnikos OFPF (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 9 of 10 (90%)96%
Ethnikos OFPF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Ethnikos OFPF or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 10 of 10 (100%)66.2%
Ethnikos OFPF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Aer Afantou or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
AER 5 of 5 (100%) · ETH 6 of 8 (75%)60.3%
Aer Afantou scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ethnikos OFPF trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level
Aer Afantou or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AER 7 of 10 (70%) · ETH 5 of 5 (100%)59.5%
Aer Afantou: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ethnikos OFPF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level
Double Chance: Ethnikos OFPF or Aer AfantouHELD · the odds board 77%
1.30
ETH 4 of 5 (80%) · AER 7 of 10 (70%)53.3%
Ethnikos OFPF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 7 of 10 (70%)51.6%
Ethnikos OFPF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 8 of 10 (80%)97%
Ethnikos OFPF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 8 of 10 (80%)91.2%
Ethnikos OFPF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 7 of 10 (70%)78.5%
Ethnikos OFPF: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 8 of 10 (80%)72.4%
Ethnikos OFPF: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.40
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 7 of 10 (70%)38.6%
Ethnikos OFPF: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 69%
1.44
ETH 4 of 5 (80%) · AER 6 of 10 (60%)32.4%
Ethnikos OFPF: not both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou: not both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
ETHNIKOS OFPF GOALS
Ethnikos OFPF Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.54
ETH 3 of 5 (60%) · AER 7 of 10 (70%)44.5%
Ethnikos OFPF scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
AER AFANTOU GOALS
Aer Afantou Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
AER 8 of 10 (80%) · ETH 3 of 5 (60%)49.1%
Aer Afantou scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ethnikos OFPF conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 5 (100%) · AER 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
Ethnikos OFPF's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Aer Afantou's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Ethnikos OFPF: only games against sides at Aer Afantou's level · Aer Afantou: only games against sides at Ethnikos OFPF's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (38%) and the records (77%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.7%
Ethnikos OFPF goals →
Aer Afantou goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ETHNIKOS OFPFLLWLWDLLLW1.00 PPG
AER AFANTOULLLDWDWDWW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ETHNIKOS OFPF HOMExAER AFANTOU AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.101.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS60%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.623.50CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Ethnikos OFPF have scored in 60% of their games.
Aer Afantou have scored in 80% of their games.
Ethnikos OFPF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Aer Afantou kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards