GREECE - GAMMA ETHNIKI
14:00Sun 8 Nov
ETH
EA
Neas Ionias vs Ethnikos Asteras FC
CLASS D
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Match details. Gamma Ethniki. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Neas Ionias have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Ethnikos Asteras FC have won one, drawn none and lost five of their last six, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Neas Ionias score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Neas Ionias average 9.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Ethnikos Asteras FC score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Ethnikos Asteras FC average 5.2 shots (2.3 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 77%.
The read. No firm call: Neas Ionias are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Neas Ionias the likelier winners; Neas Ionias are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Neas Ionias. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Neas Ionias 1-1 Ethnikos Asteras FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Neas Ionias the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Ethnikos Asteras FC (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 5 of 6 (83%) · NEA 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Ethnikos Asteras FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Neas Ionias: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level
Neas Ionias or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 5 of 5 (100%) · ETH 6 of 6 (100%)72%
Neas Ionias: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Neas Ionias or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%
Neas Ionias scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Neas Ionias 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%
Neas Ionias scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Neas Ionias or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)62%
Neas Ionias: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Neas Ionias or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)60.3%
Neas Ionias: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Double Chance: Neas Ionias or DrawHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)60.3%
Neas Ionias unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC failed to win 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Neas Ionias (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)52.7%
Neas Ionias won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Ethnikos Asteras FC lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 67% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 2
Ethnikos Asteras FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETH 4 of 6 (67%) · NEA 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%
Ethnikos Asteras FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Neas Ionias: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level
Neas Ionias to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 56%
1.79
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)34.5%
Neas Ionias won 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 6 of 6 (100%)96%
Neas Ionias: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)88.5%
Neas Ionias: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
NEA 3 of 5 (60%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)74.2%
Neas Ionias: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 5 of 5 (100%) · ETH 6 of 6 (100%)74.1%
Neas Ionias: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
NEAS IONIAS GOALS
Neas Ionias Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 5 of 6 (83%)62.7%
Neas Ionias scored in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEA 4 of 5 (80%) · ETH 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Neas Ionias's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Ethnikos Asteras FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Neas Ionias: only games against sides at Ethnikos Asteras FC's level · Ethnikos Asteras FC: only games against sides at Neas Ionias's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (38%) and the records (82%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.4%
Neas Ionias goals →
Ethnikos Asteras FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NEAS IONIASLWLWLWLLWW1.50 PPG
ETHNIKOS ASTERAS FCLLLWLL0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEAS IONIAS HOMExETHNIKOS ASTERAS FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS17%3.10CORNERS A GAME3.173.10CARDS A GAME2.67
TRENDS
Neas Ionias have scored in 60% of their games.
Ethnikos Asteras FC have scored in 33% of their games.
Neas Ionias kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Ethnikos Asteras FC kept a clean sheet in 17% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards