THE READ
Match details. Serie A, Women. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ternana have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W W L. ACF Fiorentina have won four, drawn one and lost two of their last seven league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Ternana score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Ternana average 7.6 shots (1.9 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. ACF Fiorentina score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet. ACF Fiorentina average 12.2 shots (5.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The case against. Ternana's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. ACF Fiorentina to win. ACF Fiorentina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ACF Fiorentina.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ternana 0-1 ACF Fiorentina (9% chance).
The agreed story. ACF Fiorentina or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Ternana (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
TER 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%
Ternana: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
ACF Fiorentina or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACF 6 of 7 (86%) · TER 5 of 6 (83%)74.3%
ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level
Double Chance: Ternana or ACF FiorentinaIN CODES
1.21
TER 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)66.5%
Ternana: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TER 4 of 6 (67%) · ACF 5 of 7 (71%)51%
Ternana: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
GOALS
no price yet
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Ternana: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
no price yet
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Ternana: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
1.35
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Ternana: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
1.24
TER 4 of 6 (67%) · ACF 7 of 7 (100%)65.3%
Ternana: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
TER 3 of 6 (50%) · ACF 5 of 7 (71%)42.7%
Ternana: both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
TERNANA GOALS
Ternana Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.55
TER 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)66.5%
Ternana scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
ACF FIORENTINA GOALS
ACF Fiorentina Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACF 6 of 7 (86%) · TER 4 of 6 (67%)76.2%
ACF Fiorentina scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ternana conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Ternana: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+IN CODES
1.11
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Ternana: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Ternana: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TER 4 of 6 (67%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%
Ternana: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · on half-time scores · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TER 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%
Ternana's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina's games: over 5.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
CARDS
no price yet
TER 5 of 6 (83%) · ACF 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%
Ternana's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
OTHER
1.10
TER 6 of 6 (100%) · ACF 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Ternana: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ACF Fiorentina: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Ternana: only games against sides at ACF Fiorentina's level · ACF Fiorentina: only games against sides at Ternana's level
Left off the list: 1st Half - Double Chance: Draw or ACF Fiorentina (the numbers (69%) and the records (93%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)