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ENGLAND - EFL TROPHY
Burton Albion crestBABUR
20:00Tue 10 Nov
NOTNotts County crestNC

Burton Albion vs Notts County

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 6. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent.

Form. Burton Albion have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. Notts County have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.

The numbers. Burton Albion score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Burton Albion average 13.1 shots (4.2 on target), 0.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Notts County score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Notts County average 13.2 shots (4.2 on target) and 2.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. Notts County have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County: Burton Albion had 2 shots to 20, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The case against. Burton Albion's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Notts County to win. A tight game. Notts County are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Notts County.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Burton Albion 0-1 Notts County (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Notts County the favourite), a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Burton Albion in their last cup games: won 4-0 v AFC Rushden And Diamonds, drew 0-0 at Grimsby Town (a division below), drew 1-1 v Nottingham Forest U21. Notts County in their last cup games: drew 2-2 at Altrincham FC (2 divisions below), won 5-1 v Nottingham Forest U21, won 2-1 v Grimsby Town (a division below).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Burton Albion to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.09
BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · NOT 6 of 7 (86%)93.2%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion (2:0 handicap)IN CODES
1.11
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 5 of 7 (71%)75.5%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 6 of 7 (86%)51%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 1 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Notts County or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
NOT 3 of 5 (60%) · BUR 3 of 7 (43%)49.1%
Notts County scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
Burton Albion or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)47.8%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 1 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Notts County win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
NOT 4 of 7 (57%) · BUR 5 of 7 (71%)45.7%
Notts County: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
Notts County or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 67%
1.49
NOT 6 of 7 (86%) · BUR 5 of 7 (71%)42.2%
Notts County: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 3 · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
Notts County 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.84
NOT 3 of 5 (60%) · BUR 3 of 7 (43%)40.1%
Notts County scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · rule 2: the meetings back Notts County: in the last 3 meetings, Notts County won 3; in the last 3, Notts County won 3
Notts County or Over 2.5 GoalsSETTLEDHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
NOT 3 of 7 (43%) · BUR 5 of 7 (71%)35.5%
Notts County: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 3 · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · rule 2: the meetings back Notts County: in the last 3 meetings, Notts County won 3; in the last 3, Notts Cou
Notts County or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
BUR 3 of 7 (43%) · NOT 3 of 7 (43%)33%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 43% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)94.2%
Burton Albion: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Under 3.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 68%
1.48
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)88%
Burton Albion: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)75.9%
Burton Albion: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
BUR 4 of 7 (57%) · NOT 6 of 7 (86%)59.8%
Burton Albion: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.20
BUR 4 of 7 (57%) · NOT 6 of 7 (86%)32%
Burton Albion: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 1 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
BURTON ALBION GOALS
Burton Albion Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 4 of 7 (57%)51.4%
Burton Albion scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
BUR 4 of 7 (57%) · NOT 5 of 7 (71%)46.6%
Burton Albion scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 2 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
NOTTS COUNTY GOALS
Notts County Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
NOT 7 of 7 (100%) · BUR 6 of 7 (86%)94.9%
Notts County scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
Notts County Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
NOT 4 of 7 (57%) · BUR 5 of 7 (71%)51.4%
Notts County scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 3 · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
HALVES
1st half - Burton Albion Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
BUR 7 of 7 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)94.8%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)93%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.13
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)93%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)89.2%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
1st half - Notts County Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
NOT 7 of 7 (100%) · BUR 6 of 7 (86%)88.8%
Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
2nd Half - Notts County Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
NOT 7 of 7 (100%) · BUR 7 of 7 (100%)87.1%
Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2PAGE ONLY
1.24
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)82.6%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.17
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)75.3%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.52
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)74.6%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
BUR 5 of 7 (71%) · NOT 5 of 7 (71%)63.2%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
OTHER
Burton Albion To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.12
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County never conceded 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.10
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County never trailed by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.25
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County no side scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.18
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County no side led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.18
BUR 6 of 7 (86%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)94.9%
Burton Albion: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 3 · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.36
BUR 5 of 5 (100%) · NOT 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County never trailed by 2 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
BUR 3 of 5 (60%) · NOT 5 of 7 (71%)63.9%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County never conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Burton Albion to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
2.35
BUR 3 of 5 (60%) · NOT 4 of 7 (57%)53.3%
Burton Albion scored first 0 of last 5, never led by 1 in 3 · never led by 1 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Notts County never trailed by 1 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Burton Albion: only games against sides at Notts County's level · Notts County: only games against sides at Burton Albion's level
Left off the list: Notts County to lead by 1 Goal at any time: Yes (the numbers (44%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 13.8%
Burton Albion goals →
Notts County goals ↓
0-018%
1-015%
2-07%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-114%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-26%
1-26%
2-23%
3-20.8%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-32%
1-32%
2-30.8%
3-30.2%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.4%
1-40.4%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
BURTON ALBIONWLWDDLDLWD1.30 PPG
NOTTS COUNTYDWDWLWLWLL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BURTON ALBION HOMExNOTTS COUNTY AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE25%0.50CORNERS A GAME0.002.00CARDS A GAME2.620.88xG0.901.72xG AGAINST1.58
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.21POINTS A GAME1.17-0.21GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08-1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.11.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.414LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
BURTON ALBION OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
NOTTS COUNTY OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BURTON ALBIONxNOTTS COUNTY
7GAMES61.71SCORED A GAME1.001.43CONCEDED A GAME1.333.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.386%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS17%86%BOTH SCORE50%3.3CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.612.5CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
BURTON ALBION 0 · 0%DRAW 0NOTTS COUNTY 3 · 100%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2013-09-03Burton Albion 0 – 1 Notts County
2024-09-24Burton Albion 1 – 2 Notts County
2026-08-29Burton Albion 1 – 2 Notts County
TRENDS
Burton Albion have scored in 60% of their games.
Notts County have scored in 70% of their games.
Burton Albion kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Notts County kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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