THE READ
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Al Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman.
What's at stake. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) are 17th on 6 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Etincelles, 1 point clear of AS Kigali. A win would take them above Etincelles. Etoile de Lest are 13th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Amagaju, level on points with Police. A win would take them above Amagaju.
Form. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W D L. Etoile de Lest have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D D L.
The numbers. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) average 7.4 shots (2.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Etoile de Lest score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Etoile de Lest average 5.6 shots (1.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) 1-1 Etoile de Lest (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · ETO 5 of 6 (83%)65%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 4 of 6 (67%) · ETO 9 of 10 (90%)60.3%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
Etoile de Lest or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 5 of 7 (71%)60.3%
Etoile de Lest scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)58.7%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)58.7%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
Etoile de Lest or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALM 6 of 6 (100%)56.7%
Etoile de Lest: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 4 of 6 (67%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)49.9%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
GOALS
no price yet
ALM 6 of 6 (100%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)96.9%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
no price yet
ALM 6 of 6 (100%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)90.4%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 10 of 10 (100%)77.1%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 9 of 10 (90%)73%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
no price yet
ALM 4 of 6 (67%) · ETO 8 of 10 (80%)53.6%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 63%
1.59
ALM 4 of 6 (67%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)36.8%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
AL-MERRIKH SC (SDN) GOALS
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 7 of 10 (70%)57%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
ETOILE DE LEST GOALS
Etoile de Lest Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ETO 7 of 10 (70%) · ALM 4 of 6 (67%)48.5%
Etoile de Lest scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALM 4 of 6 (67%) · ETO 7 of 7 (100%)83.3%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s games: over 5.5 corners in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest's games: over 5.5 corners in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level
CARDS
no price yet
ALM 5 of 6 (83%) · ETO 4 of 7 (57%)70.2%
Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Etoile de Lest's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): only games against sides at Etoile de Lest's level · Etoile de Lest: only games against sides at Al-Merrikh SC (SDN)'s level