Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 1. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
Form. Oxford United have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. Cheltenham Town have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Oxford United score one and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Oxford United average 15.6 shots (5.0 on target), 9.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Cheltenham Town score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cheltenham Town average 7.4 shots (2.5 on target) and 3.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Oxford United have won three, drawn two and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Oxford United won three and Cheltenham Town won one. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2024, it finished Oxford United 2-1 Cheltenham Town: Oxford United had 17 shots to 10, 55% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Oxford United are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Oxford United the likelier winners; Oxford United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oxford United. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Oxford United 1-1 Cheltenham Town (13% chance).
The agreed story. Oxford United or the draw, a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Oxford United play a division above Cheltenham Town. Oxford United in their last cup games: lost 0-1 v Stevenage FC, drew 2-2 at Exeter City (a division below). Cheltenham Town in their last cup games: won 2-0 v FC Halifax Town (a division below), drew 2-2 v Tottenham Hotspur U21, drew 2-2 v Exeter City. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.50
OXF 5 of 6 (83%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)47.8%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)97%
Oxford United: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 74%
1.35
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)94.5%
Oxford United: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 55%
1.82
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 5 of 10 (50%)76.8%
Oxford United: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OXF 5 of 6 (83%) · CHE 10 of 10 (100%)76.6%
Oxford United: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
OXF 3 of 6 (50%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)63.5%
Oxford United: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 57%
1.74
OXF 2 of 6 (33%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)32.8%
Oxford United: both scored in 2 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6
OXFORD UNITED GOALS
Oxford United Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)93.1%
Oxford United scored under 3.5 in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town conceded under 3.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6
Oxford United Under 2.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 52%
1.91
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)89.3%
Oxford United scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6
Oxford United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OXF 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)55.3%
Oxford United scored in 4 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6
CHELTENHAM TOWN GOALS
Cheltenham Town Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
CHE 5 of 10 (50%) · OXF 6 of 6 (100%)77.8%
Cheltenham Town scored under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
Cheltenham Town Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.65
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · OXF 3 of 6 (50%)54.1%
Cheltenham Town scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United conceded in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6
HALVES
1st half - Oxford United Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.10
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)97%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Oxford United Over/Under: Under 2.5PAGE ONLY
1.17
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 10 of 10 (100%)94.7%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)85.5%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+PAGE ONLY
1.23
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)85.5%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.22
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)77.2%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
OXF 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)74.1%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)61.9%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores
OTHER
Oxford United to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 65%
1.54
OXF 5 of 5 (100%) · CHE 6 of 6 (100%)96.7%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town never trailed by 3 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Oxford United To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoHELD · the odds board 62%
1.61
OXF 5 of 5 (100%) · CHE 6 of 6 (100%)94.3%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town never conceded 3 in a row in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 64%
1.56
OXF 5 of 5 (100%) · CHE 6 of 6 (100%)94.3%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town no side led by 3 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoHELD · the odds board 60%
1.66
OXF 5 of 5 (100%) · CHE 6 of 6 (100%)91%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town no side scored 3 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES
1.13
OXF 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)88.5%
Oxford United: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6
Cheltenham Town To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.09
CHE 3 of 5 (60%) · OXF 7 of 10 (70%)78.7%
Cheltenham Town scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford United never conceded 2 in a row in 6 of 6 at home
Oxford United to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 41%
2.41
OXF 4 of 5 (80%) · CHE 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 5 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town never trailed by 2 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Oxford United To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 34%
2.97
OXF 4 of 5 (80%) · CHE 5 of 6 (83%)65.4%
Oxford United scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 6 at home · Cheltenham Town never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.8%
Oxford United goals →
Cheltenham Town goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
OXFORD UNITEDLWDWDWDWDD1.70 PPG
CHELTENHAM TOWNWLWWLDLLWD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
OXFORD UNITED HOMExCHELTENHAM TOWN AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%8%FAILED TO SCORE14%9.00CORNERS A GAME0.002.75CARDS A GAME3.121.64xG1.011.60xG AGAINST2.02
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.08POINTS A GAME1.50+0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14-0.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.32.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.212LEAGUE GAMES14
Oxford United: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
OXFORD UNITED OR DRAW
97%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CHELTENHAM TOWN OR DRAW
35%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
OXFORD UNITEDxCHELTENHAM TOWN
6GAMES71.50SCORED A GAME0.860.33CONCEDED A GAME2.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.967%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%33%BOTH SCORE71%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
OXFORD UNITED 3 · 38%DRAW 2CHELTENHAM TOWN 3 · 38%
5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2014-11-29Oxford United 1 – 1 Cheltenham Town
2015-01-03Oxford United 1 – 2 Cheltenham Town
2021-09-18Oxford United 0 – 1 Cheltenham Town
2022-01-01Oxford United 1 – 1 Cheltenham Town
2022-08-27Oxford United 2 – 1 Cheltenham Town
2023-04-25Oxford United 4 – 0 Cheltenham Town
2023-11-25Oxford United 0 – 2 Cheltenham Town
2024-03-09Oxford United 2 – 1 Cheltenham Town
TRENDS
Oxford United have scored in 80% of their games.
Cheltenham Town have scored in 80% of their games.
Oxford United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Cheltenham Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards