FC Aarau vs FC Yverdon
Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. FC Aarau have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L L L. FC Yverdon have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. FC Aarau score one and concede 3.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Aarau average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FC Yverdon score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Yverdon average 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. FC Aarau's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. FC Yverdon to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Yverdon the likelier winners; FC Yverdon are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, rated 83% (FC Aarau: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Yverdon: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: FC Aarau 1-2 FC Yverdon (9% chance).
The agreed story. FC Yverdon or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FC Aarau in their last cup games: won 2-0 v FC Zurich (a division above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).