Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 17. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:15 Lagos time.
Form. CD Binefar have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W L W. AD Almudevar have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D D L.
The numbers. CD Binefar score 1.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets. CD Binefar average 7.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. AD Almudevar score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, rated 80% (CD Binefar: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8; AD Almudevar: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: AD Almudevar Over 0.5 Goals at 1.50. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CD Binefar 1-2 AD Almudevar (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).