Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. SP Tre Penne are 3rd on 17 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Virtus, 1 point clear of Cosmos. A win would take them above Virtus. SS Murata are 14th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Pennarossa, 1 point clear of San Marino Academy. A win would take them above Pennarossa.
Form. SP Tre Penne have won five, drawn two and lost none of their last seven league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W. SS Murata have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. SP Tre Penne score 1.7 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with five clean sheets. SP Tre Penne average 11.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SS Murata score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. SS Murata average 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings SP Tre Penne have won seven, drawn two and lost none. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SP Tre Penne won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished SP Tre Penne 4-0 SS Murata.
The read. SP Tre Penne to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SP Tre Penne the likelier winners; SP Tre Penne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Penne.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SP Tre Penne 2-0 SS Murata (12% chance).
The agreed story. SP Tre Penne or the draw, an open game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. SP Tre Penne: unbeaten in their last five league games (D D W W W). SS Murata: no win in their last three league games (L D L L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).