SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 7
16:30Sat 7 Nov
ADU
AU
Real Aranjuez CF vs AD Union Adarve
CLASS E
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91
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Draw or AD Union…
Real Aranjuez CF v AD Union Adarve
1.25odds
80%book
+11edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. Real Aranjuez CF have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D W. AD Union Adarve have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. Real Aranjuez CF score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Real Aranjuez CF average 12.6 shots (4.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AD Union Adarve score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. AD Union Adarve average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. AD Union Adarve to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AD Union Adarve the likelier winners; AD Union Adarve are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Union Adarve. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or AD Union Adarve at 1.25, rated 90% (AD Union Adarve unbeaten in 9 of 10; Real Aranjuez CF failed to win 9 of 10). Full cover: Real Aranjuez CF Over 0.5 Goals at 1.38. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Real Aranjuez CF 1-2 AD Union Adarve (10% chance).
The agreed story. AD Union Adarve or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Draw or AD Union AdarveMAININ CODES
1.25
ADU 9 of 10 (90%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)91%
AD Union Adarve unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
AD Union Adarve or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADU 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)85.1%
AD Union Adarve scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
AD Union Adarve (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.44
ADU 5 of 6 (83%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)84.3%
AD Union Adarve won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Real Aranjuez CF lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 1
AD Union Adarve or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADU 7 of 10 (70%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)71%
AD Union Adarve: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 10 (80%) · ADU 9 of 10 (90%)69.8%
Real Aranjuez CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
Real Aranjuez CF (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 10 (70%) · ADU 6 of 10 (60%)65%
Real Aranjuez CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
AD Union Adarve 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADU 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)58.7%
AD Union Adarve scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF trailed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 9 of 10 (90%) · ADU 10 of 10 (100%)95%
Real Aranjuez CF: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.27
REA 8 of 10 (80%) · ADU 10 of 10 (100%)91%
Real Aranjuez CF: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.88
REA 5 of 10 (50%) · ADU 6 of 10 (60%)56%
Real Aranjuez CF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
REA 7 of 10 (70%) · ADU 6 of 10 (60%)47%
Real Aranjuez CF: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
REAL ARANJUEZ CF GOALS
Real Aranjuez CF Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
REA 7 of 10 (70%) · ADU 7 of 10 (70%)52%
Real Aranjuez CF scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
AD UNION ADARVE GOALS
AD Union Adarve Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADU 9 of 10 (90%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)90%
AD Union Adarve scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
AD Union Adarve Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
ADU 6 of 10 (60%) · REA 6 of 10 (60%)61%
AD Union Adarve scored over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aranjuez CF conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 9 of 9 (100%) · ADU 7 of 10 (70%)85%
Real Aranjuez CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
OTHER
Real Aranjuez CF Clean Sheet: NoIN CODES
1.19
REA 9 of 10 (90%) · ADU 9 of 10 (90%)90%
Real Aranjuez CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
REA 7 of 10 (70%) · ADU 9 of 10 (90%)62%
Real Aranjuez CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Union Adarve: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Real Aranjuez CF: only games against sides at AD Union Adarve's level · AD Union Adarve: only games against sides at Real Aranjuez CF's level
Left off the list: Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (49%) and the records (74%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Real Aranjuez CF or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (49%) and the records (67%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.6%
Real Aranjuez CF goals →
AD Union Adarve goals ↓
0-04%
1-03%
2-02%
3-00.8%
4-00.2%
5-00.1%
0-16%
1-19%
2-15%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-36%
1-37%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-44%
1-44%
2-43%
3-41%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-52%
1-52%
2-51%
3-50.5%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL ARANJUEZ CFLLLDLWDDDL0.70 PPG
AD UNION ADARVEWWDDDLWWDW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL ARANJUEZ CF HOMExAD UNION ADARVE AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME2.102.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.78CORNERS A GAME4.602.33CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Real Aranjuez CF have scored in 70% of their games.
AD Union Adarve have scored in 90% of their games.
Real Aranjuez CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
AD Union Adarve kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards