Match details. Premier League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Montrose FC have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Partick Thistle LFC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W.
The numbers. Montrose FC score one and concede 3.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Partick Thistle LFC score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Partick Thistle LFC average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Montrose FC's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Partick Thistle LFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Partick Thistle LFC the likelier winners; Partick Thistle LFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Partick Thistle LFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.52, rated 79% (Montrose FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Partick Thistle LFC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.23. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Montrose FC 1-2 Partick Thistle LFC (8% chance).
The agreed story. Partick Thistle LFC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Montrose FC in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC, lost 1-2 at Kelty Hearts FC, lost 2-3 at Formartine United. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).