Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Piratas Veracruz are 4th on 25 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Monarcas, level on points with Cancún. A win would take them above Monarcas. Cancun FC are 5th on 25 points after 15 games, level on points with Piratas, level on points with Venados FC. A win would take them above Piratas. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Piratas Veracruz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. Cancun FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D.
The numbers. Piratas Veracruz score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Piratas Veracruz average 6.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Cancun FC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cancun FC average 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Piratas Veracruz have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 6 Nov 2026, it finished Piratas Veracruz 1-1 Cancun FC: Piratas Veracruz had 17 shots to 14, 59% of the ball, one yellow card.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Piratas Veracruz 1-1 Cancun FC (13% chance).
The agreed story. Piratas Veracruz or the draw, an open game.
The league run. Piratas Veracruz: one defeat in their last five league games (D D W W L). Cancun FC: unbeaten in their last five league games (D W D D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Piratas Veracruz or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)94.3%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Double Chance: Piratas Veracruz or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY
1.17
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)76.2%
Piratas Veracruz unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
1st Half - Double Chance: Piratas Veracruz or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.17
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)74.2%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)66.3%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)65.4%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)82%
Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)48.9%
Piratas Veracruz: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 59%
1.70
PIR 3 of 5 (60%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)35%
Piratas Veracruz: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
PIRATAS VERACRUZ GOALS
Piratas Veracruz Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.13
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)75.9%
Piratas Veracruz scored in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
CANCUN FC GOALS
Cancun FC Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.50
CAN 5 of 5 (100%) · PIR 3 of 5 (60%)51%
Cancun FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
Cancun FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · PIR 5 of 5 (100%)49.3%
Cancun FC scored under 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.19
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
1st Half Cancun FC to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.12
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Both Halves Under 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.43
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 4 of 5 (80%)78%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0PAGE ONLY
1.31
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)74.3%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)73.3%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 5 of 5 (100%)67.2%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CAN 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Cancun FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Cancun FC's level · Cancun FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Left off the list: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (69%) and the records (97%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Piratas Veracruz 1UP (the numbers (58%) and the records (80%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
Piratas Veracruz goals →
Cancun FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
PIRATAS VERACRUZDDWWLWLWDW1.80 PPG
CANCUN FCDWWDDWLWDD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PIRATAS VERACRUZ HOMExCANCUN FC AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.871.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE6%6.94CORNERS A GAME4.312.44CARDS A GAME2.63
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.53+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.53+8.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.815LEAGUE GAMES15
Piratas Veracruz: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
CANCUN FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PIRATAS VERACRUZxCANCUN FC
7GAMES72.14SCORED A GAME1.710.57CONCEDED A GAME1.862.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%43%BOTH SCORE71%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
PIRATAS VERACRUZ 0 · 0%DRAW 1CANCUN FC 1 · 50%
2026-08-23Piratas Veracruz 0 – 1 Cancun FC
2026-11-06Piratas Veracruz 1 – 1 Cancun FC
TRENDS
Piratas Veracruz have scored in 90% of their games.
Cancun FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Piratas Veracruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Cancun FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards