FC Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Promotion Playoffs. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Murom have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Khimik Dzerzhinsk have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. FC Murom score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Khimik Dzerzhinsk score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Khimik Dzerzhinsk average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
The case against. Khimik Dzerzhinsk's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. FC Murom to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Murom the likelier winners; FC Murom are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Murom. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Murom 2-1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk (10% chance).
The agreed story. FC Murom or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. FC Murom in their last cup games: lost 0-1 at Spartak Tambov. Khimik Dzerzhinsk in their last cup games: lost 2-3 at FC Sevastopol. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).