THE READ
Match details. 1. Division. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 06:30 Lagos time.
Form. Citizen AA have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D L D. Resources Capital FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Citizen AA score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Citizen AA average 8.1 shots (4.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Resources Capital FC score 5.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Resources Capital FC average 20.1 shots (9.6 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Resources Capital FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Resources Capital FC the likelier winners; Resources Capital FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Resources Capital FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 78% (Citizen AA: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Resources Capital FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: GG/NG 2+: No at 1.19. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Citizen AA 1-3 Resources Capital FC (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Resources Capital FC the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · RES 6 of 6 (100%)83.6%
Citizen AA: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Resources Capital FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RES 5 of 6 (83%) · CIT 4 of 5 (80%)61.4%
Resources Capital FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Citizen AA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division
Citizen AA or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 5 of 6 (83%)61.4%
Citizen AA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Citizen AA or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 3 of 6 (50%)50.3%
Citizen AA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
GOALS
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · RES 5 of 6 (83%)92.8%
Citizen AA: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · RES 5 of 6 (83%)92.1%
Citizen AA: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Over 2.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 5 of 6 (83%)78.8%
Citizen AA: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.58
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 3 of 6 (50%)67.7%
Citizen AA: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: both scored in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
CITIZEN AA GOALS
Citizen AA Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.54
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 3 of 6 (50%)68.3%
Citizen AA scored in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC conceded in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
RESOURCES CAPITAL FC GOALS
Resources Capital FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RES 5 of 6 (83%) · CIT 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%
Resources Capital FC scored in 5 of 6 away · Citizen AA conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division
CORNERS
Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 7 (71%) · RES 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%
Citizen AA's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
CARDS
no price yet
CIT 7 of 7 (100%) · RES 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Citizen AA's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
OTHER
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesIN CODES
1.16
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 6 of 7 (86%)75.3%
Citizen AA scored first 1 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 4 · a side scored 2 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC a side scored 2 in a row in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesIN CODES
1.23
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 6 of 7 (86%)75.3%
Citizen AA scored first 1 of last 5, a side led by 2 in 4 · a side led by 2 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC a side led by 2 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Citizen AA To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
CIT 3 of 5 (60%) · RES 4 of 7 (57%)67.6%
Citizen AA scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC never conceded 2 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Citizen AA to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
CIT 3 of 5 (60%) · RES 3 of 7 (43%)62.9%
Citizen AA scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 1 in 3 · never led by 1 in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC never trailed by 1 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Resources Capital FC To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
2.08
RES 2 of 5 (40%) · CIT 4 of 7 (57%)56.2%
Resources Capital FC scored first 5 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 2 · never scored 3 in a row in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA never conceded 3 in a row in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division
Resources Capital FC to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
RES 2 of 5 (40%) · CIT 4 of 7 (57%)56.2%
Resources Capital FC scored first 5 of last 5, never led by 3 in 2 · never led by 3 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA never trailed by 3 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division
GG/NG 2+: NoFULL COVERLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 4 of 6 (67%)54.2%
Citizen AA: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Resources Capital FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · RES 5 of 7 (71%)51.5%
Citizen AA scored first 1 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 4 · no side led by 3 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Resources Capital FC no side led by 3 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Citizen AA: only games in Resources Capital FC's division · Resources Capital FC: only games in Citizen AA's division
Left off the list: Resources Capital FC Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (86%) and the records (61%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)