Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil.
What's at stake. Erbil SC are 7th on 19 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Al Zawra'a, 1 point clear of Duhok. A win would take them above Al Zawra'a. Al-Gharraf SC are 14th on 13 points after 12 games, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Zakho. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Form. Erbil SC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L D W. In this competition Erbil SC have gone D L L D W L. Al-Gharraf SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition Al-Gharraf SC have gone W D W D L L.
The numbers. Erbil SC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Erbil SC average 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Al-Gharraf SC score 0.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Al-Gharraf SC average 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Erbil SC have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Erbil SC 0-0 Al-Gharraf SC.
The case against. Al-Gharraf SC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Erbil SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Erbil SC the likelier winners; Erbil SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Erbil SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 74% (Erbil SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Al-Gharraf SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Erbil SC 1-0 Al-Gharraf SC (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Erbil SC the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Erbil SC: no win in their last three league games (D L L D W). Al-Gharraf SC: up and down in the league (W D W L L). Not confident in Erbil SC: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
1st Half - Double Chance: Erbil SC or DrawHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)66.4%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Erbil SC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)61.4%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Erbil SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 4 of 6 (67%)57.6%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Al-Gharraf SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALG 4 of 6 (67%) · ERB 5 of 5 (100%)56.1%
Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Erbil SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level
Erbil SC (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ERB 4 of 7 (57%) · ALG 3 of 5 (60%)50.1%
Erbil SC won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Al-Gharraf SC lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 4
Erbil SC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 3 of 5 (60%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)49%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Erbil SC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 3 of 5 (60%) · ALG 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%
Erbil SC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Erbil SC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 3 of 5 (60%) · ALG 3 of 5 (60%)42%
Erbil SC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC trailed in 3 of 5 away
Erbil SC to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 63%
1.59
ERB 2 of 5 (40%) · ALG 3 of 6 (50%)25.2%
Erbil SC won 2 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC lost 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 45% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Erbil SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 6 of 6 (100%)95.8%
Erbil SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.26
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)76.3%
Erbil SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)73.7%
Erbil SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.31
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)55.5%
Erbil SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 2 of 6 (33%)41.1%
Erbil SC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
ERBIL SC GOALS
Erbil SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)61.2%
Erbil SC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.10
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)92.8%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
2nd Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.21
ERB 5 of 5 (100%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)91.4%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.38
ERB 4 of 5 (80%) · ALG 5 of 6 (83%)74.4%
Erbil SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Gharraf SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores · Erbil SC: only games against sides at Al-Gharraf SC's level · Al-Gharraf SC: only games against sides at Erbil SC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.3%
Erbil SC goals →
Al-Gharraf SC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ERBIL SCWWDWLWDLLD1.50 PPG
AL-GHARRAF SCLLDLLLDWDW0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ERBIL SC HOMExAL-GHARRAF SC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.600.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE50%4.83CORNERS A GAME3.912.50CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
AL-GHARRAF SC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.58POINTS A GAME1.20+0.58GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.41.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES10
Erbil SC: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ERBIL SC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
AL-GHARRAF SC OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ERBIL SCxAL-GHARRAF SC
7GAMES61.29SCORED A GAME0.830.71CONCEDED A GAME1.332.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.286%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%14%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%43%BOTH SCORE50%7.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.410.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
ERBIL SC 1 · 50%DRAW 1AL-GHARRAF SC 0 · 0%
2025-11-22Erbil SC 2 – 1 Al-Gharraf SC
2026-04-05Erbil SC 0 – 0 Al-Gharraf SC
TRENDS
Erbil SC have scored in 80% of their games.
Al-Gharraf SC have scored in 40% of their games.
Erbil SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Al-Gharraf SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards