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KENYA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Kakamega Homeboyz crestKHKAK
13:00Sun 8 Nov
KENKenya Police FC crestKP

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kenya Police FC

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Kakamega Homeboyz are 16th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Bandari, level on points with Posta Rangers FC. A win would take them above Bandari. Kenya Police FC are 7th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind 3K, 1 point clear of Murang'a SEAL. A win would take them above 3K.

Form. Kakamega Homeboyz have won one, drawn one and lost two of their last four league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L L D W. Kenya Police FC have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L D.

The numbers. Kakamega Homeboyz score 0.5 and concede one a game over their last four, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Kenya Police FC score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Kakamega Homeboyz have won two, drawn four and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Kakamega Homeboyz won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished Kakamega Homeboyz 1-1 Kenya Police FC.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Kakamega Homeboyz 1-1 Kenya Police FC (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Kenya Police FC the favourite), a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
No pick fits the read on this match.
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.8%
Kakamega Homeboyz goals →
Kenya Police FC goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 5
KAKAMEGA HOMEBOYZWDLL1.00 PPG
KENYA POLICE FCDLDWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KAKAMEGA HOMEBOYZ HOMExKENYA POLICE FC AWAY
0.50SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME0.6025%CLEAN SHEETS60%50%FAILED TO SCORE20%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
KAKAMEGA HOMEBOYZ 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
16%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
KAKAMEGA HOMEBOYZ OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
KENYA POLICE FC OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
KAKAMEGA HOMEBOYZ 2 · 22%DRAW 4KENYA POLICE FC 3 · 33%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-04-24Kakamega Homeboyz 2 – 2 Kenya Police FC
2022-12-03Kakamega Homeboyz 1 – 0 Kenya Police FC
2023-03-12Kakamega Homeboyz 0 – 1 Kenya Police FC
2024-01-06Kakamega Homeboyz 0 – 3 Kenya Police FC
2024-05-05Kakamega Homeboyz 1 – 2 Kenya Police FC
2024-12-21Kakamega Homeboyz 1 – 1 Kenya Police FC
2025-05-14Kakamega Homeboyz 2 – 1 Kenya Police FC
2025-12-22Kakamega Homeboyz 2 – 2 Kenya Police FC
TRENDS
Kakamega Homeboyz failed to score in 50% of their games.
Kenya Police FC failed to score in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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