THE READ
Match details. Japan Football League. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tiamo Hirakata have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L D D. Criacao Shinjuku have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W.
The numbers. Tiamo Hirakata score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Tiamo Hirakata average 10.0 shots (4.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Criacao Shinjuku score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Criacao Shinjuku average 5.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 41% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Criacao Shinjuku are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Criacao Shinjuku are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Criacao Shinjuku. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tiamo Hirakata 1-1 Criacao Shinjuku (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Criacao Shinjuku the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tiamo Hirakata (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
TIA 3 of 5 (60%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)81.9%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
Criacao Shinjuku or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRI 4 of 5 (80%) · TIA 4 of 5 (80%)65.3%
Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division
Criacao Shinjuku or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRI 4 of 5 (80%) · TIA 4 of 5 (80%)60.4%
Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division
Tiamo Hirakata or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TIA 2 of 5 (40%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TIA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRI 2 of 5 (40%)49.6%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
Double Chance: Draw or Criacao ShinjukuLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
CRI 4 of 5 (80%) · TIA 4 of 5 (80%)37.2%
Criacao Shinjuku unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tiamo Hirakata failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division
GOALS
no price yet
TIA 3 of 5 (60%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%
Tiamo Hirakata: under 5.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
no price yet
TIA 3 of 5 (60%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)88.7%
Tiamo Hirakata: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
1.32
TIA 2 of 5 (40%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)74.5%
Tiamo Hirakata: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
no price yet
TIA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRI 4 of 5 (80%)74%
Tiamo Hirakata: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
TIAMO HIRAKATA GOALS
Tiamo Hirakata Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.49
TIA 4 of 5 (80%) · CRI 4 of 5 (80%)38.4%
Tiamo Hirakata scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
CRIACAO SHINJUKU GOALS
Criacao Shinjuku Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
CRI 5 of 5 (100%) · TIA 2 of 5 (40%)51.2%
Criacao Shinjuku scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tiamo Hirakata conceded under 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 71% · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division
Criacao Shinjuku Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRI 3 of 5 (60%) · TIA 5 of 5 (100%)49.4%
Criacao Shinjuku scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tiamo Hirakata conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division
HALVES
Criacao Shinjuku to Score In Both Halves: NoIN CODES
1.24
TIA 4 of 5 (80%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)92%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.19
TIA 4 of 5 (80%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)92%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.12
TIA 3 of 5 (60%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)84.3%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TIA 2 of 5 (40%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)70%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TIA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRI 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
OTHER
1.13
TIA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRI 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Tiamo Hirakata: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Criacao Shinjuku: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Tiamo Hirakata: only games in Criacao Shinjuku's division · Criacao Shinjuku: only games against sides at Tiamo Hirakata's level
Left off the list: Criacao Shinjuku 1UP (the numbers (45%) and the records (86%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Criacao Shinjuku or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (62%) and the records (96%) are 34 points apart, and nothing settles it)