THE READ
Match details. SAFF Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 10:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bangabandhu National Stadium, Dhaka.
What's at stake. Maldives are 2nd on 0 points after 0 games, 3 points behind India, level on points with Pakistan. A win would take them level on points with India. Pakistan are 3rd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Maldives. A win would take them above Maldives.
Form. Maldives have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Pakistan have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Pakistan have gone L.
The numbers. Maldives score 0.6 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Maldives average 1.3 corners a game. Pakistan score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pakistan average 8.7 shots (2.3 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 40% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, rated 78% (Maldives: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Pakistan: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+ at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Maldives 1-1 Pakistan (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Maldives the favourite), a tight game.
Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Maldives in their last internationals: lost 0-6 v Lebanon, lost 0-5 at Kyrgyzstan, lost 0-3 at China PR. Pakistan in their last internationals: lost 2-3 v India (rated above them), lost 0-4 v Thailand (rated above them). Too few internationals to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Pakistan or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 3 of 5 (60%) · MDV 9 of 10 (90%)55.3%
Pakistan: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Maldives: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against
Pakistan or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 2 of 5 (40%) · MDV 9 of 10 (90%)52.5%
Pakistan: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · Maldives: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Maldives or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MDV 6 of 10 (60%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)52%
Maldives: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against
Maldives or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MDV 5 of 10 (50%) · PAK 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Maldives: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against
Maldives or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MDV 5 of 10 (50%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)47.2%
Maldives: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
no price yet
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)97%
Maldives: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · each game weighed by who it was against
1.21
MDV 9 of 10 (90%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
Maldives: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.33
MDV 8 of 10 (80%) · PAK 3 of 5 (60%)79.3%
Maldives: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · each game weighed by who it was against
no price yet
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 5 of 5 (100%)72%
Maldives: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 96% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
MDV 8 of 10 (80%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)51.3%
Maldives: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · each game weighed by who it was against
MALDIVES GOALS
Maldives Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.47
MDV 5 of 10 (50%) · PAK 5 of 5 (100%)52.3%
Maldives scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against
PAKISTAN GOALS
Pakistan Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PAK 3 of 5 (60%) · MDV 10 of 10 (100%)50.7%
Pakistan scored in 3 of 5 away · Maldives conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Maldives: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+BACKUPIN CODES
1.10
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Maldives: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Maldives to Score In Both Halves: NoIN CODES
1.12
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)87.8%
Maldives: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half Maldives to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)86.8%
Maldives: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.18
MDV 8 of 10 (80%) · PAK 4 of 5 (80%)85.7%
Maldives: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
OTHER
1.11
MDV 10 of 10 (100%) · PAK 3 of 5 (60%)81.6%
Maldives: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Pakistan: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (67%) and the records (91%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
Maldives have scored in 50% of their games.
Pakistan have scored in 50% of their games.
Maldives kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Pakistan kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.