THE READ
Match details. Women Bundesliga. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Bayer Leverkusen have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Hamburger SV have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Bayer Leverkusen score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bayer Leverkusen average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Hamburger SV score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Hamburger SV average 9.9 shots (4.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Bayer Leverkusen are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Bayer Leverkusen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayer Leverkusen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hamburger SV (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Bayer Leverkusen the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Bayer Leverkusen in their last cup games: won 5-2 v 1 FC Nuremberg (a division below). Hamburger SV in their last cup games: lost 1-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt, won 3-0 at SC Verl (2 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Hamburger SV (0:2 handicap)HELD · the odds board 50%
2.00
HAM 7 of 8 (88%) · BAY 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)82.3%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Bayer Leverkusen or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 7 of 8 (88%) · HAM 8 of 8 (100%)75.8%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Bayer Leverkusen 1UPHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
BAY 4 of 5 (80%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)58.7%
Bayer Leverkusen scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Bayer Leverkusen or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)57%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Double Chance: Bayer Leverkusen or DrawHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
BAY 5 of 8 (62%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)57%
Bayer Leverkusen unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Double Chance: Bayer Leverkusen or Hamburger SVHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
BAY 7 of 8 (88%) · HAM 5 of 8 (62%)57%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Hamburger SV or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HAM 5 of 8 (62%) · BAY 6 of 8 (75%)50.8%
Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 5 of 8 (62%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)50.8%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Bayer Leverkusen (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
BAY 4 of 7 (57%) · HAM 4 of 5 (80%)50.6%
Bayer Leverkusen won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hamburger SV lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 3
GOALS
no price yet
BAY 8 of 8 (100%) · HAM 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
no price yet
BAY 8 of 8 (100%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)94.8%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
BAY 5 of 8 (62%) · HAM 5 of 8 (62%)63.5%
Bayer Leverkusen: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
BAYER LEVERKUSEN GOALS
Bayer Leverkusen Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 7 of 8 (88%) · HAM 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%
Bayer Leverkusen scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
HAMBURGER SV GOALS
Hamburger SV Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 65%
1.53
HAM 7 of 8 (88%) · BAY 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Hamburger SV scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level
HALVES
Hamburger SV to Score In Both Halves: NoIN CODES
1.10
BAY 7 of 8 (88%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
2nd Half - Hamburger SV Clean Sheet: NoPAGE ONLY
1.28
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)75%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+IN CODES
1.19
BAY 8 of 8 (100%) · HAM 6 of 8 (75%)69.5%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
CORNERS
Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%
Bayer Leverkusen's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
CARDS
no price yet
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%
Bayer Leverkusen's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
OTHER
GG/NG 2+: NoHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
BAY 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 7 of 8 (88%)63.3%
Bayer Leverkusen: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hamburger SV: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Bayer Leverkusen: only games against sides at Hamburger SV's level · Hamburger SV: only games against sides at Bayer Leverkusen's level
Left off the list: Bayer Leverkusen Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (44%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (55%) and the records (81%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Both Halves Under 1.5: No (the numbers (64%) and the records (88%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)