THE READ
Match details. 1. Division. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 06:30 Lagos time.
Form. Leaper have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D L L. Yuen Long FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. Leaper score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Leaper average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Yuen Long FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Yuen Long FC average 14.0 shots (8.4 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Leaper's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Yuen Long FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yuen Long FC the likelier winners; Yuen Long FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yuen Long FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Leaper 1-2 Yuen Long FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Yuen Long FC or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Yuen Long FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YUE 9 of 10 (90%) · LEA 5 of 6 (83%)80.4%
Yuen Long FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Yuen Long FCIN CODES
1.10
YUE 8 of 10 (80%) · LEA 4 of 6 (67%)76.6%
Yuen Long FC unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper failed to win 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
Yuen Long FC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.13
YUE 7 of 9 (78%) · LEA 5 of 7 (71%)75.6%
Yuen Long FC won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Leaper lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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LEA 4 of 6 (67%) · YUE 8 of 10 (80%)73.2%
Leaper: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
Yuen Long FC 1UPMAININ CODES
1.20
YUE 4 of 5 (80%) · LEA 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Yuen Long FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper trailed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
1X2 - 2UP: Yuen Long FCLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
YUE 3 of 5 (60%) · LEA 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%
Yuen Long FC scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
Yuen Long FC to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
YUE 7 of 10 (70%) · LEA 2 of 6 (33%)36.4%
Yuen Long FC won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper lost 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 60% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
Yuen Long FC Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
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YUE 7 of 10 (70%) · LEA 2 of 6 (33%)34.3%
Yuen Long FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper: the bet landed in 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 50% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
GOALS
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LEA 6 of 6 (100%) · YUE 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Leaper: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
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LEA 5 of 6 (83%) · YUE 10 of 10 (100%)90.4%
Leaper: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
1.42
LEA 4 of 6 (67%) · YUE 8 of 10 (80%)73.2%
Leaper: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
LEA 4 of 6 (67%) · YUE 6 of 10 (60%)44.2%
Leaper: both scored in 4 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
LEAPER GOALS
Leaper Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.46
LEA 5 of 6 (83%) · YUE 7 of 10 (70%)56.4%
Leaper scored in 5 of 6 at home · Yuen Long FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
YUEN LONG FC GOALS
Yuen Long FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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YUE 9 of 10 (90%) · LEA 5 of 6 (83%)87.8%
Yuen Long FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
Yuen Long FC Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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YUE 8 of 10 (80%) · LEA 5 of 6 (83%)80.4%
Yuen Long FC scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leaper conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
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LEA 4 of 5 (80%) · YUE 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Leaper's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Yuen Long FC's games: over 6.5 corners in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level
CARDS
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LEA 5 of 5 (100%) · YUE 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Leaper's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Yuen Long FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Leaper: only games against sides at Yuen Long FC's level · Yuen Long FC: only games against sides at Leaper's level