THE READ
Match details. 1. Division. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 06:15 Lagos time.
Form. Lucky Mile have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L D L. Tung Sing have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L D.
The numbers. Lucky Mile score 1.5 and concede 3.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Lucky Mile average 8.3 shots (4.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Tung Sing score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tung Sing average 10.9 shots (5.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Lucky Mile's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Tung Sing to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tung Sing the likelier winners; Tung Sing are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tung Sing. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lucky Mile 1-2 Tung Sing (8% chance).
The agreed story. Tung Sing or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tung Sing or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TUN 8 of 10 (80%) · LUC 8 of 8 (100%)85.1%
Tung Sing: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 7 of 8 (88%) · TUN 6 of 10 (60%)74.8%
Lucky Mile: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
Tung Sing to WinHELD · the odds board 87%
1.15
TUN 5 of 10 (50%) · LUC 7 of 8 (88%)50.8%
Tung Sing won 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
1X2 - 2UP: Tung SingLEANHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
TUN 2 of 5 (40%) · LUC 4 of 8 (50%)45.3%
Tung Sing scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
Tung Sing Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TUN 4 of 10 (40%) · LUC 7 of 8 (88%)45%
Tung Sing: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
GOALS
no price yet
LUC 8 of 8 (100%) · TUN 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Lucky Mile: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
no price yet
LUC 8 of 8 (100%) · TUN 7 of 10 (70%)86%
Lucky Mile: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
1.26
LUC 7 of 8 (88%) · TUN 6 of 10 (60%)74.8%
Lucky Mile: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
LUC 6 of 8 (75%) · TUN 6 of 10 (60%)49.5%
Lucky Mile: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
LUCKY MILE GOALS
Lucky Mile Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.54
LUC 6 of 8 (75%) · TUN 8 of 10 (80%)59.5%
Lucky Mile scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
TUNG SING GOALS
Tung Sing Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TUN 8 of 10 (80%) · LUC 8 of 8 (100%)90%
Tung Sing scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
Tung Sing Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TUN 5 of 10 (50%) · LUC 8 of 8 (100%)76%
Tung Sing scored over 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUC 4 of 5 (80%) · TUN 5 of 8 (62%)71.3%
Lucky Mile's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
CARDS
no price yet
LUC 4 of 5 (80%) · TUN 7 of 8 (88%)83.8%
Lucky Mile's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
OTHER
Lucky Mile To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.11
LUC 4 of 5 (80%) · TUN 4 of 5 (80%)83.5%
Lucky Mile scored first 0 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing never conceded 2 in a row in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
Tung Sing To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
TUN 5 of 5 (100%) · LUC 7 of 8 (88%)69%
Tung Sing scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile never conceded 3 in a row in 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
Tung Sing to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.85
TUN 5 of 5 (100%) · LUC 7 of 8 (88%)69%
Tung Sing scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile never trailed by 3 in 1 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
LUC 4 of 5 (80%) · TUN 4 of 5 (80%)66.8%
Lucky Mile scored first 0 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 4 · a side scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing a side scored 2 in a row in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
LUC 4 of 5 (80%) · TUN 4 of 5 (80%)62.7%
Lucky Mile scored first 0 of last 5, a side led by 2 in 4 · a side led by 2 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing a side led by 2 in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
GG/NG 2+: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
LUC 5 of 8 (62%) · TUN 8 of 10 (80%)53.3%
Lucky Mile: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tung Sing: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Lucky Mile: only games against sides at Tung Sing's level · Tung Sing: only games in Lucky Mile's division
Left off the list: Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: Yes (the numbers (44%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: Yes (the numbers (39%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Lucky Mile to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (62%) and the records (83%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Tung Sing to lead by 2 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (42%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)