FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. The referee is Erwin Blank.
What's at stake. FC Utrecht are 11th on 12 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Cambuur, level on points with Sparta Rotterdam. A win would take them level on points with Cambuur. NEC Nijmegen are 14th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind PEC Zwolle, level on points with Excelsior. A win would take them above PEC Zwolle.
Form. FC Utrecht have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W W L. In this competition FC Utrecht have gone L D W W L W. NEC Nijmegen have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition NEC Nijmegen have gone L D D D D L.
The numbers. FC Utrecht score 1.8 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Utrecht average 14.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. NEC Nijmegen score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. NEC Nijmegen average 15.5 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Utrecht have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Utrecht won three and NEC Nijmegen won one. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2026, it finished FC Utrecht 3-1 NEC Nijmegen: FC Utrecht had 11 shots to 24, 24% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. NEC Nijmegen are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Utrecht: in the last ten meetings, FC Utrecht won six, NEC Nijmegen won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, rated 77% (FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.12. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen (9% chance).
The agreed story. FC Utrecht or the draw, an open game.
The league run. FC Utrecht: up and down in the league (L D W W L). NEC Nijmegen: no win in their last three league games (L D D D D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Utrecht to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.10
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)92.4%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
NEC Nijmegen to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.13
NEC 5 of 5 (100%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
FC Utrecht or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 8 of 10 (80%)87.7%
FC Utrecht scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC Utrecht or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)75.8%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC Utrecht or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 85%
1.17
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 5 of 5 (100%)61.2%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC Utrecht or Draw & Over 1.5SETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.65
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · NEC 2 of 5 (40%)58.1%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level · rule 2: the meetings back FC Utrecht: in the last 10 meetings, FC Utrecht won 6, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and 2 were drawn; in the last 4, FC Utrecht won
FC Utrecht 1UPIN CODES
1.57
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)55.3%
FC Utrecht scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed in 5 of 5 away
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY
1.15
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 3 of 5 (60%)71.1%
FC Utrecht: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 69%
1.44
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 3 of 5 (60%)38.6%
FC Utrecht: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
FC UTRECHT GOALS
FC Utrecht Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 5 of 5 (100%)79%
FC Utrecht scored in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
NEC NIJMEGEN GOALS
NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
NEC 3 of 5 (60%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)52.9%
NEC Nijmegen scored in 3 of 5 away · FC Utrecht conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)93.2%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)81.8%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+HELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)57.6%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
CORNERS
Under 12.5 cornersIN CODES
1.28
FCU 7 of 8 (88%) · NEC 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
FC Utrecht's games: under 12.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen's games: under 12.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES
1.40
FCU 7 of 8 (88%) · NEC 5 of 8 (62%)75%
FC Utrecht's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsIN CODES
1.12
FCU 8 of 8 (100%) · NEC 8 of 8 (100%)97%
FC Utrecht's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
OTHER
FC Utrecht to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.10
FCU 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 10 of 10 (100%)86.7%
FC Utrecht scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen never trailed by 3 in 3 of 5 away
NEC Nijmegen To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.12
NEC 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%
NEC Nijmegen scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 4 · never scored 3 in a row in 4 of 5 away · FC Utrecht never conceded 3 in a row in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
NEC Nijmegen To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.53
NEC 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)74.3%
NEC Nijmegen scored first 1 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 away · FC Utrecht never conceded 2 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
FC Utrecht to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesIN CODES
1.58
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)74.3%
FC Utrecht scored first 2 of last 5, led by 1 in 3 · led by 1 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed by 1 in 5 of 5 away
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.30
NEC 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)74.3%
NEC Nijmegen scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 4 of 5 away · FC Utrecht never trailed by 2 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GG/NG 2+: NoLEANIN CODES
1.27
FCU 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 5 of 5 (100%)69.5%
FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Utrecht: only games against sides at NEC Nijmegen's level · NEC Nijmegen: only games against sides at FC Utrecht's level
NEC Nijmegen to lead by 1 Goal at any time: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 47%
2.14
NEC 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)67.7%
NEC Nijmegen scored first 1 of last 5, never led by 1 in 4 · never led by 1 in 4 of 5 away · FC Utrecht never trailed by 1 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
FCU 3 of 5 (60%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)62%
FC Utrecht scored first 2 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 3 · a side scored 2 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen a side scored 2 in a row in 3 of 5 away
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.2%
FC Utrecht goals →
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC UTRECHTLDLDWLWWDL1.20 PPG
NEC NIJMEGENWWLDLDDDDL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC UTRECHT HOMExNEC NIJMEGEN AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.602.90CONCEDED A GAME1.7010%CLEAN SHEETS0%9%FAILED TO SCORE18%4.88CORNERS A GAME6.002.12CARDS A GAME1.381.28xG1.411.86xG AGAINST1.69
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME1.00-0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.18-4.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES11
NEC Nijmegen: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
FC UTRECHT OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
NEC NIJMEGEN OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC UTRECHTxNEC NIJMEGEN
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.404.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE80%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.49.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FC UTRECHT 6 · 60%DRAW 2NEC NIJMEGEN 2 · 20%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-22FC Utrecht 3 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
2022-04-29FC Utrecht 1 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
2022-09-16FC Utrecht 0 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
2023-03-12FC Utrecht 2 – 2 NEC Nijmegen
2023-09-23FC Utrecht 0 – 3 NEC Nijmegen
2024-03-17FC Utrecht 1 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
2024-11-24FC Utrecht 2 – 1 NEC Nijmegen
2025-03-15FC Utrecht 0 – 1 NEC Nijmegen
TRENDS
FC Utrecht have scored in 90% of their games.
NEC Nijmegen have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Utrecht kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
NEC Nijmegen kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards