FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time. It is played at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）. The referee is Jannick van der Laan.
What's at stake. Alkmaar are 5th on 20 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Twente, level on points with Fortuna Sittard. A win would take them level on points with Twente. FC Groningen are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, 2 points behind GO Ahead Eagles, level on points with Cambuur. A win would take them above GO Ahead Eagles.
Form. Alkmaar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Alkmaar have gone L L D L W D. FC Groningen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition FC Groningen have gone L D L W W D.
The numbers. Alkmaar score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alkmaar average 15.9 shots (5.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. FC Groningen score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Groningen average 15.5 shots (5.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alkmaar have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alkmaar won three and FC Groningen won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Alkmaar 0-3 FC Groningen: Alkmaar had 16 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 38%.
The read. No firm call: Alkmaar are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Alkmaar the likelier winners; Alkmaar are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, rated 78% (Alkmaar: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; FC Groningen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). The safer one: FC Groningen Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10 (88%). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.14. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Alkmaar the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Alkmaar: lost their last two league games (L L D L W). FC Groningen: no win in their last three league games (L D L W W). Not confident in Alkmaar: they lost their last two league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Alkmaar to Win to Nil: NoIN CODES
1.39
ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
ALK 5 of 10 (50%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)77%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
FC Groningen (0:2 handicap)LEANIN CODES
1.62
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · ALK 7 of 10 (70%)75%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
FC Groningen or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · ALK 7 of 10 (70%)58.7%
FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Alkmaar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
Alkmaar or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
ALK 6 of 10 (60%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)53.7%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Alkmaar or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
ALK 3 of 5 (60%) · FCG 3 of 5 (60%)49.1%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · FC Groningen trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.14
ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)88.2%
Alkmaar: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
ALK 4 of 10 (40%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)62%
Alkmaar: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
ALK 5 of 10 (50%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)58.5%
Alkmaar: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
ALKMAAR GOALS
Alkmaar Over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
ALK 5 of 10 (50%) · FCG 2 of 5 (40%)30.6%
Alkmaar scored over 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
FC GRONINGEN GOALS
FC Groningen Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · ALK 8 of 10 (80%)69.5%
FC Groningen scored in 5 of 5 away · Alkmaar conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
HALVES
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 0IN CODES
1.21
ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)92%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
ALK 8 of 10 (80%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2IN CODES
1.28
ALK 10 of 10 (100%) · FCG 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%
Alkmaar: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
CORNERS
Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES
1.41
ALK 6 of 8 (75%) · FCG 8 of 8 (100%)87.5%
Alkmaar's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen's games: over 8.5 corners in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
Under 11.5 cornersIN CODES
1.44
ALK 5 of 8 (62%) · FCG 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Alkmaar's games: under 11.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen's games: under 11.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsIN CODES
1.20
ALK 6 of 8 (75%) · FCG 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%
Alkmaar's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Groningen's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level
OTHER
Alkmaar To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen never conceded 3 in a row in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Alkmaar to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.32
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen never trailed by 3 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Alkmaar to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 53%
1.89
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen never trailed by 2 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Alkmaar To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 44%
2.26
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 5 · never scored 2 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen never conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.45
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)68.7%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen no side scored 3 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.35
ALK 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)68.7%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 5 of 5 at home · FC Groningen no side led by 3 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
FC Groningen to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
FCG 3 of 5 (60%) · ALK 7 of 10 (70%)63.3%
FC Groningen scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 3 · never led by 2 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alkmaar never trailed by 2 in 3 of 5 at home
FC Groningen To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
FCG 3 of 5 (60%) · ALK 6 of 10 (60%)60%
FC Groningen scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alkmaar never conceded 2 in a row in 3 of 5 at home
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
ALK 2 of 5 (40%) · FCG 2 of 5 (40%)58.7%
Alkmaar scored first 3 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 2 · a side scored 2 in a row in 2 of 5 at home · FC Groningen a side scored 2 in a row in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Left off the list: FC Groningen win or both teams score (the numbers (70%) and the records (90%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.4%
Alkmaar goals →
FC Groningen goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALKMAARWWWWDWLDLL1.70 PPG
FC GRONINGENWLLDDWWLDL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALKMAAR HOMExFC GRONINGEN AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.401.30CONCEDED A GAME2.3020%CLEAN SHEETS10%27%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.25CORNERS A GAME4.621.62CARDS A GAME1.381.77xG1.761.35xG AGAINST1.86
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME1.36+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.18+6.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.30.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES11
Alkmaar: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 85/90
ALKMAAR OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
FC GRONINGEN OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALKMAARxFC GRONINGEN
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.801.40CONCEDED A GAME2.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%20%BOTH SCORE80%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.89.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ALKMAAR 6 · 60%DRAW 2FC GRONINGEN 2 · 20%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-05-13Alkmaar 0 – 0 FC Groningen
2021-10-24Alkmaar 0 – 2 FC Groningen
2021-12-21Alkmaar 1 – 0 FC Groningen
2022-10-01Alkmaar 4 – 1 FC Groningen
2023-03-11Alkmaar 1 – 0 FC Groningen
2024-08-25Alkmaar 0 – 0 FC Groningen
2024-12-18Alkmaar 3 – 1 FC Groningen
2025-05-11Alkmaar 3 – 0 FC Groningen
TRENDS
Alkmaar have scored in 60% of their games.
FC Groningen have scored in 90% of their games.
Alkmaar kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FC Groningen kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards