SPAIN - LALIGA 2
16:15Sun 8 Nov
ALM
ALM
Girona vs Almeria
CLASS A
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59
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Over 1.5 Goals
Girona v Almeria
1.25odds
80%book
-21edge
3/3angles
THE READ
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Montilivi, Girona. The referee is Gorka Etayo Herrera.
What's at stake. Girona are 8th on 21 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Sporting Gijon, level on points with Oviedo. A win would take them above Sporting Gijon. Almeria are 2nd on 26 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Castellón, 2 points clear of Burgos. A win would take them above Castellón.
Team news. Girona's line-up is confirmed. Álex Muñoz is their centre-back. Almeria's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Girona have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Girona have gone L W W D D W. Almeria have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Almeria have gone D D W W W W.
The numbers. Girona score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Girona average 13.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Almeria score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Almeria average 12.6 shots (4.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Girona have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Girona won two, one was drawn and Almeria won one. The last time they met, on 14 Jan 2024, it finished Girona 0-0 Almeria: Girona had 5 shots to 20, 54% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Girona the likelier winners, but Almeria are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. The safer one: Almeria Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09 (90%). Predicted score: Girona 1-1 Almeria (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Girona the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. Girona: one defeat in their last five league games (L W W D D). Almeria: unbeaten in their last five league games (D D W W W). Not confident in Girona: the other side is unbeaten in five league games and they are not.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Girona to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)90.1%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Almeria to Win to Nil: NoTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
ALM 3 of 5 (60%) · GIR 6 of 6 (100%)65.8%
Almeria: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Girona: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria without Álex Muñoz (rule 3)
Almeria or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.49
ALM 5 of 5 (100%) · GIR 4 of 6 (67%)60.3%
Almeria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Girona: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria without Álex Muñoz (rule 3)
Girona or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 81%
1.23
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)57%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Girona or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 3 of 5 (60%)56.2%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Double Chance: Girona or AlmeriaLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.29
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)55.7%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Girona or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
GIR 5 of 5 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Almeria trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 away
Almeria or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ALM 5 of 5 (100%) · GIR 5 of 5 (100%)51%
Almeria scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Girona trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home
Girona or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.34
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 2 of 5 (40%)49.9%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Almeria win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · GIR 3 of 6 (50%)49.9%
Almeria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Girona: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria without Álex Muñoz (rule 3)
Girona 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.49
GIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)35.3%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Almeria trailed in 0 of 5 away
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
GIR 4 of 6 (67%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%
Girona: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Almeria: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.40
GIR 4 of 6 (67%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)71.4%
Girona: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Almeria: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAINHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 3 of 5 (60%)59.2%
Girona: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 56%
1.79
GIR 3 of 6 (50%) · ALM 1 of 5 (20%)30%
Girona: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Almeria: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · H2H 4 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
GIRONA GOALS
Girona Under 2.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.24
GIR 4 of 6 (67%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)78.8%
Girona scored under 2.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Almeria conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Girona Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 3 of 5 (60%)61.4%
Girona scored in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
ALMERIA GOALS
Almeria Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.09
ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · GIR 6 of 6 (100%)89.6%
Almeria scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · Girona conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level
Almeria Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · GIR 3 of 6 (50%)49.4%
Almeria scored in 4 of 5 away · Girona conceded in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.11
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
GIR 5 of 6 (83%) · ALM 3 of 5 (60%)75.3%
Girona: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.23
GIR 6 of 6 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)75.2%
Girona: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
Almeria to Score In Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
GIR 6 of 6 (100%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)75.2%
Girona: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Almeria: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Girona: only games against sides at Almeria's level · Almeria: only games against sides at Girona's level
OTHER
Girona To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES
1.15
GIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 4 · never scored 3 in a row in 4 of 5 at home · Almeria never conceded 3 in a row in 5 of 5 away
Girona to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.11
GIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, never led by 3 in 4 · never led by 3 in 4 of 5 at home · Almeria never trailed by 3 in 5 of 5 away
Almeria to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES
1.15
ALM 3 of 5 (60%) · GIR 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Almeria scored first 4 of last 5, never led by 2 in 3 · never led by 2 in 3 of 5 away · Girona never trailed by 2 in 5 of 5 at home
Any Team To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
GIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, a side scored 2 in a row in 4 · a side scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 at home · Almeria a side scored 2 in a row in 2 of 5 away
Almeria To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
ALM 3 of 5 (60%) · GIR 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Almeria scored first 4 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 3 · never scored 2 in a row in 3 of 5 away · Girona never conceded 2 in a row in 4 of 5 at home
Girona to lead by 1 Goal at any time: YesLEANHELD · the odds board 67%
1.49
GIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 4 of 5 (80%)35.3%
Girona scored first 4 of last 5, led by 1 in 4 · led by 1 in 4 of 5 at home · Almeria trailed by 1 in 0 of 5 away
Left off the list: Girona or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (56%) and the records (41%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 4.5 cards (the numbers (56%) and the records (79%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: Yes (the numbers (47%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (57%) and the records (90%) are 33 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.6%
Girona goals →
Almeria goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
GIRONAWWLWWDDWWL2.00 PPG
ALMERIALWWWWWWWDD2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GIRONA HOMExALMERIA AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%CLEAN SHEETS50%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.62CORNERS A GAME3.622.75CARDS A GAME2.621.39xG1.531.21xG AGAINST1.47
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.22+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.11.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.210LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
GIRONA OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
ALMERIA OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GIRONAxALMERIA
6GAMES52.50SCORED A GAME1.600.83CONCEDED A GAME0.803.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.483%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%50%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.89.5CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
GIRONA 4 · 40%DRAW 3ALMERIA 3 · 30%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-11-01Girona 0 – 0 Almeria
2021-03-07Girona 0 – 1 Almeria
2021-06-02Girona 3 – 0 Almeria
2021-06-05Girona 0 – 0 Almeria
2021-10-04Girona 1 – 2 Almeria
2022-03-27Girona 1 – 0 Almeria
2022-10-20Girona 2 – 3 Almeria
2023-02-17Girona 6 – 2 Almeria
TRENDS
Girona have scored in 80% of their games.
Almeria have scored in 90% of their games.
Girona kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Almeria kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards