Match details. 3. SNL. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. NK Sobec Lesce have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. Mnk Izola have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. NK Sobec Lesce score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. NK Sobec Lesce average 2.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Mnk Izola score 4.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Mnk Izola average 8.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. Mnk Izola to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Mnk Izola the likelier winners; Mnk Izola are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mnk Izola. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: NK Sobec Lesce 1-2 Mnk Izola (9% chance).
The agreed story. Mnk Izola or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).