Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L L. Ujpesti TE have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Diosgyori VTK Miskolc average 2.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Ujpesti TE score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Ujpesti TE average 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: Ujpesti TE are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ujpesti TE the likelier winners; Ujpesti TE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ujpesti TE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Diosgyori VTK Miskolc 1-2 Ujpesti TE (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Ujpesti TE the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).