KS Naprzod Jedrzejow vs MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Match details. III Liga, Group 4. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. KS Naprzod Jedrzejow have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W W. MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. KS Naprzod Jedrzejow score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. KS Naprzod Jedrzejow average 7.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska score 0.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska average 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 50% against the records' 72%.
The read. No firm call: KS Naprzod Jedrzejow are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make KS Naprzod Jedrzejow the likelier winners; KS Naprzod Jedrzejow are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KS Naprzod Jedrzejow. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, rated 73% (KS Naprzod Jedrzejow: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska Under 1.5 Goals at 1.49. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: KS Naprzod Jedrzejow 2-1 MKS Podlasie Biala Podlaska (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (KS Naprzod Jedrzejow the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).