Stomil Olsztyn vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska
Match details. 1. Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Stomil Olsztyn have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W W W. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Stomil Olsztyn score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Stomil Olsztyn average 21.7 shots (10.1 on target), 7.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska score 2.3 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska average 13.4 shots (5.2 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Stomil Olsztyn to win. An open game. Stomil Olsztyn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stomil Olsztyn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Stomil Olsztyn 2-1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska (8% chance).
The agreed story. Stomil Olsztyn or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska in their last cup games: won 3-1 v Slask II Wroclaw (a division above), won 3-2 v Sandecja Nowy Sacz (a division above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).