AMATL

22:00Sat 7 Nov

GRE

Atletico Mineiro MG vs Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

CLASS B

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THE READ

Match details. Copa do Brasil, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta. The referee is Ramon Abatti.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Team news. Atletico Mineiro MG's line-up is confirmed. Gustavo Martins is their centre-back. Viery is their centre-back. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's line-up is confirmed.

Form. Atletico Mineiro MG have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.

The numbers. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Atletico Mineiro MG average 12.4 shots (5.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 9.3 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atletico Mineiro MG have won four, drawn none and lost six. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Atletico Mineiro MG won one and Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won three. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2026, it finished Atletico Mineiro MG 0-2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: Atletico Mineiro MG had 20 shots to 6, 76% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Atletico Mineiro MG the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Mineiro MG 2-1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Mineiro MG the favourite), goals in between.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Atletico Mineiro MG in their last cup games: lost 0-2 at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS, won 2-1 v Cruzeiro EC MG, drew 1-1 at Cruzeiro EC MG. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS in their last cup games: won 2-0 v Atletico Mineiro MG, won 3-1 v SC Internacional RS, drew 0-0 at SC Internacional RS.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Atletico Mineiro MG to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY

1.26

ATL 7 of 7 (100%) · GRE 9 of 9 (100%)95.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.73

GRE 8 of 9 (89%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)60.2%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS without Gusta

Atletico Mineiro MG or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 9 of 9 (100%)58.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

2.00

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 9 (78%)58.4%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Atletico Mineiro MG or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · GRE 5 of 7 (71%)54.7%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Atletico Mineiro MG or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 6 of 9 (67%)54.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%

1.39

ATL 3 of 7 (43%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)48.1%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Atletico Mineiro MG or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%

1.25

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 4 of 9 (44%)47.2%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

ATL 6 of 7 (86%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)89.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 6 of 9 (67%)72.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%

1.27

ATL 3 of 7 (43%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)57.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Over 2.5 GoalsSETTLEDHELD · the odds board 55%

1.82

ATL 3 of 7 (43%) · GRE 4 of 9 (44%)27.4%

Atletico Mineiro MG: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · rule 1: it landed in 8 of the last 10 meet

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG GOALS

Atletico Mineiro MG Under 3.5 goalsIN CODES

1.12

ATL 7 of 7 (100%) · GRE 8 of 9 (89%)95.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored under 3.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS conceded under 3.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Atletico Mineiro MG Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

ATL 7 of 7 (100%) · GRE 6 of 9 (67%)83.3%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Atletico Mineiro MG Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 6 of 9 (67%)54.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS GOALS

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.73

GRE 8 of 9 (89%) · ATL 5 of 7 (71%)63%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

HALVES

1st half - Atletico Mineiro MG Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

ATL 7 of 7 (100%) · GRE 8 of 9 (89%)91.7%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

ATL 6 of 7 (86%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)82.1%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)76.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

ATL 4 of 7 (57%) · GRE 8 of 9 (89%)75.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

CORNERS

Over 10.5 CornersIN CODES

1.72

ATL 5 of 7 (71%) · GRE 7 of 9 (78%)74.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG's games: over 10.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's games: over 10.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 7 of 7 (100%) · GRE 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%

Atletico Mineiro MG's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

OTHER

Atletico Mineiro MG to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.24

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · GRE 7 of 7 (100%)96.3%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 3 in 5 · never led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS never trailed by 3 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Any Team to lead by 3 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.26

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · GRE 7 of 7 (100%)96.3%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, no side led by 3 in 5 · no side led by 3 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS no side led by 3 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Atletico Mineiro MG To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.28

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · GRE 7 of 7 (100%)92.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 5 · never scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS never conceded 3 in a row in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Any Team To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.31

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · GRE 7 of 7 (100%)92.6%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, no side scored 3 in a row in 5 · no side scored 3 in a row in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS no side scored 3 in a row in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's leve

Atletico Mineiro MG to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoHELD · the odds board 58%

1.73

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · GRE 7 of 7 (100%)88.9%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, never led by 2 in 5 · never led by 2 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS never trailed by 2 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.11

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 9 (89%)84.9%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG never conceded 2 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Atletico Mineiro MG To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoHELD · the odds board 51%

1.98

ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · GRE 6 of 7 (86%)73.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG scored first 2 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Left off the list: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (55%) and the records (77%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Any Team to lead by 2 Goals at any time: No (the numbers (59%) and the records (85%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.9%

Atletico Mineiro MG goals →

Gremio FB Porto… goals ↓

0-010%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-24%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO MINEIRO MGWDWWWLLLLL1.30 PPG

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSLLDDDLWWWL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG HOMExGREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%6.20CORNERS A GAME5.002.00CARDS A GAME2.90

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME1.15+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.15+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.10.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES13

Atletico Mineiro MG: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ATLETICO MINEIRO MGxGREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.411.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG 4 · 40%DRAW 0GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS 6 · 60%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-12-10Atletico Mineiro MG 3 – 4 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2023-07-23Atletico Mineiro MG 0 – 1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2023-11-26Atletico Mineiro MG 3 – 0 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2024-09-01Atletico Mineiro MG 3 – 2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2024-10-09Atletico Mineiro MG 2 – 1 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2025-03-29Atletico Mineiro MG 1 – 2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2025-08-17Atletico Mineiro MG 1 – 3 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

2026-02-26Atletico Mineiro MG 1 – 2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS

TRENDS

Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 60% of their games.

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have scored in 90% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards