Taichung Blue Whale vs AC Taipei
Match details. Mulan Football League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 09:30 Lagos time.
Form. Taichung Blue Whale have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L. AC Taipei have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Taichung Blue Whale score 2.6 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Taichung Blue Whale average 24.4 shots (12.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 0.1 cards a game. AC Taipei score 1.2 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AC Taipei average 8.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: Taichung Blue Whale are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Taichung Blue Whale the likelier winners; Taichung Blue Whale are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Taichung Blue Whale. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Taichung Blue Whale 2-1 AC Taipei (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Taichung Blue Whale the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).