Match details. II Divisao, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gil Vicente FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. SC Braga B have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Gil Vicente FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gil Vicente FC average 8.8 shots (3.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. SC Braga B score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. SC Braga B average 10.4 shots (4.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Gil Vicente FC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. SC Braga B to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SC Braga B the likelier winners; SC Braga B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Braga B. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Gil Vicente FC 1-2 SC Braga B (10% chance).
The agreed story. SC Braga B or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).