Match details. II Divisao, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Clube de Albergaria have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. S.C. Rio Tinto have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Clube de Albergaria score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Clube de Albergaria average 8.4 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game. S.C. Rio Tinto score 3.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. S.C. Rio Tinto average 12.9 shots (6.6 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: S.C. Rio Tinto are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Clube de Albergaria.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Clube de Albergaria 2-1 S.C. Rio Tinto (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).