KCKEL

16:00Sat 7 Nov

REA

Kelme CF vs Real Murcia

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Kelme CF have won none, drawn four and lost four of their last eight, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. Real Murcia have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Kelme CF score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Kelme CF average 7.7 shots (3.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Real Murcia score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Real Murcia average 9.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

The case against. Kelme CF's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. Real Murcia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Real Murcia the likelier winners; Real Murcia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Murcia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Kelme CF 0-1 Real Murcia (13% chance).

The agreed story. Real Murcia or the draw, a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Real Murcia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 3 of 5 (60%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)74.3%

Real Murcia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Kelme CF trailed or failed to win in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

Kelme CF (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)71.3%

Kelme CF: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Real Murcia or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 2 of 5 (40%) · KEL 8 of 8 (100%)70%

Real Murcia: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · Kelme CF: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

Double Chance: Draw or Real MurciaLEANPAGE ONLY

1.15

REA 2 of 5 (40%) · KEL 8 of 8 (100%)70%

Real Murcia unbeaten in 2 of 5 away · Kelme CF failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

Real Murcia or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · KEL 4 of 8 (50%)57%

Real Murcia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Kelme CF: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)51.2%

Kelme CF: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Real Murcia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 3 of 5 (60%) · KEL 3 of 5 (60%)38.7%

Real Murcia scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · Kelme CF trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)94.8%

Kelme CF: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)81.4%

Kelme CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.41

KEL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)75.2%

Kelme CF: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)69.5%

Kelme CF: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

KEL 5 of 8 (62%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)53.3%

Kelme CF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

REAL MURCIA GOALS

Real Murcia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 5 of 5 (100%) · KEL 6 of 8 (75%)69.5%

Real Murcia scored in 5 of 5 away · Kelme CF conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level

CORNERS

Over 3.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 6 of 6 (100%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)83%

Kelme CF's games: over 3.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia's games: over 3.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KEL 4 of 6 (67%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)73%

Kelme CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Real Murcia's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Kelme CF: only games against sides at Real Murcia's level · Real Murcia: only games against sides at Kelme CF's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 12.6%

Kelme CF goals →

Real Murcia goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KELME CFDLDLDDLL0.50 PPG

REAL MURCIAWWLLLWWWLW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KELME CF HOMExREAL MURCIA AWAY

0.38SCORED A GAME1.701.75CONCEDED A GAME1.6025%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.17CORNERS A GAME4.782.17CARDS A GAME2.78

TRENDS

Kelme CF have scored in 38% of their games.

Real Murcia have scored in 100% of their games.

Kelme CF kept a clean sheet in 25% of their games.

Real Murcia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards