Arucas CF vs CD Mensajero
Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Arucas CF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. CD Mensajero have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L.
The numbers. Arucas CF score 1.4 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Arucas CF average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Mensajero score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Mensajero average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Arucas CF 1-2 CD Mensajero (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CD Mensajero the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).