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Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Deportivo Alaves have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Athletic Bilbao have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Deportivo Alaves score 4.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Alaves average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Athletic Bilbao score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Athletic Bilbao average 12.0 shots (5.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Deportivo Alaves the likelier winners, but Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Athletic Bilbao.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Deportivo Alaves 2-1 Athletic Bilbao (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Deportivo Alaves the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Athletic Bilbao in their last cup games: won 6-1 at AE Prat. Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 6 of 8 (75%)88.5%
Deportivo Alaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
Athletic Bilbao or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATH 7 of 8 (88%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)74.1%
Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Deportivo Alaves or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 7 of 8 (88%)74.1%
Deportivo Alaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
Deportivo Alaves or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 4 of 8 (50%)53.7%
Deportivo Alaves: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Deportivo Alaves: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 7 of 8 (88%)93.1%
Deportivo Alaves: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 6 of 8 (75%)86.8%
Deportivo Alaves: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
DEPORTIVO ALAVES GOALS
Deportivo Alaves Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · ATH 4 of 8 (50%)71.7%
Deportivo Alaves scored in 5 of 5 at home · Athletic Bilbao conceded in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level
ATHLETIC BILBAO GOALS
Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATH 7 of 8 (88%) · DEP 2 of 5 (40%)65.4%
Athletic Bilbao scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Deportivo Alaves conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Deportivo Alaves's level · Deportivo Alaves: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Left off the list: Athletic Bilbao Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (39%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Deportivo Alaves (2:0 handicap) (the numbers (91%) and the records (67%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 3.5 Goals (the numbers (49%) and the records (78%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.3%
Deportivo Alaves goals →
Athletic Bilbao goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-07%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01%
0-13%
1-19%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-26%
2-26%
3-25%
4-23%
5-21%
0-31%
1-32%
2-33%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.6%
0-40.4%
1-40.8%
2-41.0%
3-40.7%
4-40.4%
5-40.2%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTIVO ALAVESWWWDWDLLWD1.80 PPG
ATHLETIC BILBAOLWWWLWWWWW2.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTIVO ALAVES HOMExATHLETIC BILBAO AWAY
3.10SCORED A GAME3.201.10CONCEDED A GAME0.8050%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.172.00CARDS A GAME2.83
TRENDS
Deportivo Alaves have scored in 80% of their games.
Athletic Bilbao have scored in 80% of their games.
Deportivo Alaves kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Athletic Bilbao kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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