MEXICO - LIGA PRIMERA PREMIER
01:00Sun 8 Nov
HOP
HO
Jaguares FC vs H2O Purepechas FC
CLASS D
Want this game in a code?
VIP members get every code: the 2, 3, 5 and 10 odds, the 30-100 and the Grand, booked and ready.
SubscribeTHE READ
Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Jaguares FC are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Reboceros La Piedad, level on points with Zacatepec 1948. A win would take them above Reboceros La Piedad. H2O Purepechas FC are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Montañeses, level on points with Inter Playa del Carmen. A win would take them level on points with Montañeses.
Form. Jaguares FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. H2O Purepechas FC have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition H2O Purepechas FC have gone W L W L L L.
The numbers. Jaguares FC score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Jaguares FC average 7.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. H2O Purepechas FC score 0.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. H2O Purepechas FC average 7.1 shots (2.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. Jaguares FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Jaguares FC the likelier winners; Jaguares FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Jaguares FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jaguares FC 1-0 H2O Purepechas FC (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Jaguares FC the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Jaguares FC: no win in their last three league games (D L D W W). H2O Purepechas FC: up and down in the league (W L W L L). Not confident in Jaguares FC: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
H2O Purepechas FC (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
HOP 7 of 8 (88%) · JAG 9 of 9 (100%)93.8%
H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Jaguares FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 5 of 5 (100%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)68.3%
Jaguares FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Jaguares FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 7 of 9 (78%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)64.6%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Jaguares FC or DrawHELD · the odds board 87%
1.15
JAG 8 of 9 (89%) · HOP 6 of 8 (75%)63.9%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Double Chance: Jaguares FC or DrawHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
JAG 8 of 9 (89%) · HOP 6 of 8 (75%)61%
Jaguares FC unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Jaguares FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)59.1%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
H2O Purepechas FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HOP 7 of 8 (88%) · JAG 6 of 9 (67%)56.7%
H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
2nd Half - Draw No Bet: Jaguares FCHELD · the odds board 79%
1.27
JAG 4 of 5 (80%) · HOP 4 of 6 (67%)55.3%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 1
Jaguares FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 6 of 8 (75%)52.8%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 9 of 9 (100%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Jaguares FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 9 of 9 (100%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)95.6%
Jaguares FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.28
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)77.3%
Jaguares FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 8 of 9 (89%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)73.4%
Jaguares FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 6 of 8 (75%)46.6%
Jaguares FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
JAGUARES FC GOALS
Jaguares FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 7 of 9 (78%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)60%
Jaguares FC scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Jaguares FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.93
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)37.4%
Jaguares FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
JAG 8 of 9 (89%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)96.4%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
JAG 8 of 9 (89%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)96.4%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
2nd Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.20
JAG 9 of 9 (100%) · HOP 7 of 8 (88%)95.8%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Both Halves Over 1.5: NoPAGE ONLY
1.11
JAG 7 of 9 (78%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)88.9%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2IN CODES
1.21
JAG 6 of 9 (67%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)85.3%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.38
JAG 5 of 9 (56%) · HOP 8 of 8 (100%)79.8%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.40
JAG 7 of 9 (78%) · HOP 5 of 8 (62%)70.1%
Jaguares FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · H2O Purepechas FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Jaguares FC: only games against sides at H2O Purepechas FC's level
Left off the list: Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (59%) and the records (88%) are 28 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.3%
Jaguares FC goals →
H2O Purepechas FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
JAGUARES FCDWDLDWWDDD1.50 PPG
H2O PUREPECHAS FCDLLLLWLW0.88 PPG
THE NUMBERS
JAGUARES FC HOMExH2O PUREPECHAS FC AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.621.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1240%CLEAN SHEETS12%22%FAILED TO SCORE62%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.573.33CARDS A GAME2.43
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME0.88+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8
Jaguares FC: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
24%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
JAGUARES FC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
H2O PUREPECHAS FC OR DRAW
31%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
JAGUARES FCxH2O PUREPECHAS FC
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.801.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Jaguares FC have scored in 80% of their games.
H2O Purepechas FC have scored in 38% of their games.
Jaguares FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
H2O Purepechas FC kept a clean sheet in 12% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards