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Match details. Copa do Brasil, Women. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 01:30 Lagos time.
Form. CR Flamengo RJ have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. EC Bahia BA have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. CR Flamengo RJ score 2.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. CR Flamengo RJ average 13.8 shots (5.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. EC Bahia BA score 3.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. EC Bahia BA average 15.2 shots (6.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: EC Bahia BA are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make EC Bahia BA the likelier winners; EC Bahia BA are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour EC Bahia BA. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CR Flamengo RJ 1-2 EC Bahia BA (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CR Flamengo RJ the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 5 of 6 (83%) · ECB 9 of 10 (90%)73.6%
CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
CR Flamengo RJ or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 6 of 6 (100%) · ECB 8 of 10 (80%)68.7%
CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
CR Flamengo RJ (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 5 of 6 (83%) · ECB 5 of 10 (50%)67.8%
CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
EC Bahia BA or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECB 9 of 10 (90%) · CRF 5 of 6 (83%)62.5%
EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%
CR Flamengo RJ or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 4 of 5 (80%)59.7%
CR Flamengo RJ scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA trailed or failed to win in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues)
CR Flamengo RJ or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 6 of 6 (100%) · ECB 6 of 10 (60%)58.7%
CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
EC Bahia BA or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECB 5 of 5 (100%) · CRF 6 of 6 (100%)51%
EC Bahia BA scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home
EC Bahia BA 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECB 4 of 5 (80%) · CRF 5 of 6 (83%)49.8%
EC Bahia BA scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ trailed in 2 of 5 at home
GOALS
no price yet
CRF 6 of 6 (100%) · ECB 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
CR Flamengo RJ: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
1.23
CRF 5 of 6 (83%) · ECB 8 of 10 (80%)79.7%
CR Flamengo RJ: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
1.76
CRF 5 of 6 (83%) · ECB 8 of 10 (80%)72.4%
CR Flamengo RJ: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
CRF 4 of 6 (67%) · ECB 6 of 10 (60%)63.2%
CR Flamengo RJ: both scored in 4 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
CR FLAMENGO RJ GOALS
CR Flamengo RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 6 of 6 (100%) · ECB 6 of 10 (60%)76.7%
CR Flamengo RJ scored in 6 of 6 at home · EC Bahia BA conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
EC BAHIA BA GOALS
EC Bahia BA Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.39
ECB 9 of 10 (90%) · CRF 4 of 6 (67%)78.9%
EC Bahia BA scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
EC Bahia BA Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECB 7 of 10 (70%) · CRF 2 of 6 (33%)33.1%
EC Bahia BA scored over 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 50%
CARDS
no price yet
CRF 4 of 5 (80%) · ECB 5 of 6 (83%)83.1%
CR Flamengo RJ's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · EC Bahia BA's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86%
Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (60%) and the records (83%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
CR Flamengo RJ have scored in 80% of their games.
EC Bahia BA have scored in 90% of their games.
CR Flamengo RJ kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
EC Bahia BA kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.