Universidad de Chile vs Universidad Catolica
Match details. Primera Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Universidad de Chile have won four, drawn none and lost one of their last five league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W. Universidad Catolica have won six, drawn one and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Universidad de Chile score two and concede one a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Universidad de Chile average 6.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Universidad Catolica score 2.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets. Universidad Catolica average 6.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Universidad Catolica are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Universidad de Chile.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.54, rated 71% (Universidad de Chile: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7; Universidad Catolica: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Predicted score: Universidad de Chile 2-1 Universidad Catolica (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Universidad de Chile the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Universidad de Chile in their last cup games: won 4-0 v CD Antofagasta (a division below), won 1-0 v CD Everton Vina del Mar. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).