Itumbiara EC GO vs Rioverdense GO
Match details. Goiano, 3. Divisao. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Itumbiara EC GO have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Rioverdense GO have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. Itumbiara EC GO score one and concede 3.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Itumbiara EC GO average 6.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. Rioverdense GO score one and concede 4.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Rioverdense GO average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Rioverdense GO's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Itumbiara EC GO to win. An open game. Itumbiara EC GO are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Itumbiara EC GO. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Itumbiara EC GO 2-1 Rioverdense GO (8% chance).
The agreed story. Itumbiara EC GO or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).