THE READ
Match details. Mineiro, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. America FC MG have won three, drawn none and lost three of their last six league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L W L. Cruzeiro EC MG have won three, drawn one and lost none of their last four league games, 2.5 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W W W D.
The numbers. America FC MG score 3.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. America FC MG average 12.8 shots (5.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Cruzeiro EC MG score six and concede 1.5 a game over their last four, with two clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 15.2 shots (8.3 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. America FC MG's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Cruzeiro EC MG to win. Their goals for and against make Cruzeiro EC MG the likelier winners; Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cruzeiro EC MG.
The bets. Best bet: Cruzeiro EC MG (Draw No Bet) at 1.21, rated 75% (Cruzeiro EC MG won 8 of 8 (draws left out); America FC MG lost 3 of 6 (draws left out)). Backup: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.54. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: America FC MG 1-2 Cruzeiro EC MG (7% chance).
The agreed story. Cruzeiro EC MG or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Cruzeiro EC MG in their last cup games: lost 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro MG, drew 1-1 v Atletico Mineiro MG. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cruzeiro EC MG or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · AME 10 of 10 (100%)87.7%
Cruzeiro EC MG scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG (Draw No Bet)MAININ CODES
1.20
CRU 8 of 8 (100%) · AME 3 of 6 (50%)76%
Cruzeiro EC MG won 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · America FC MG lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 2
America FC MG (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
AME 5 of 6 (83%) · CRU 6 of 10 (60%)71.7%
America FC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Double Chance: Draw or Cruzeiro EC MGIN CODES
1.14
CRU 10 of 10 (100%) · AME 3 of 6 (50%)69.7%
Cruzeiro EC MG unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG failed to win 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 10 of 10 (100%) · AME 6 of 6 (100%)66.2%
Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 4 of 5 (80%) · AME 9 of 10 (90%)58.7%
Cruzeiro EC MG scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 8 of 10 (80%) · AME 3 of 6 (50%)55.9%
Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AME 5 of 6 (83%) · CRU 8 of 10 (80%)55%
America FC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 66%
1.52
CRU 8 of 10 (80%) · AME 3 of 6 (50%)43.3%
Cruzeiro EC MG won 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
GOALS
no price yet
AME 6 of 6 (100%) · CRU 10 of 10 (100%)97%
America FC MG: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
no price yet
AME 5 of 6 (83%) · CRU 8 of 10 (80%)50.3%
America FC MG: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Over 2.5 GoalsBACKUPHELD · the odds board 65%
1.54
AME 5 of 6 (83%) · CRU 8 of 10 (80%)44.1%
America FC MG: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
CRUZEIRO EC MG GOALS
Cruzeiro EC MG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 10 of 10 (100%) · AME 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
Cruzeiro EC MG scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Cruzeiro EC MG Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 8 of 10 (80%) · AME 2 of 6 (33%)38.7%
Cruzeiro EC MG scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG conceded over 1.5 in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
CARDS
no price yet
AME 5 of 5 (100%) · CRU 9 of 10 (90%)95%
America FC MG's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cruzeiro EC MG's games: over 1.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Cruzeiro EC MG's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (60%) and the records (85%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)