Pioneros de Cancun vs Reboceros de La Piedad
Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pioneros de Cancun are 4th on 17 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Celaya, level on points with Tigres de Alica. A win would take them above Celaya. Reboceros de La Piedad are 6th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Tigres de Alica, 1 point clear of Jaguares de Chiapas. A win would take them above Tigres de Alica.
Form. Pioneros de Cancun have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Reboceros de La Piedad have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.
The numbers. Pioneros de Cancun score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pioneros de Cancun average 10.4 shots (5.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Reboceros de La Piedad score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Reboceros de La Piedad average 12.0 shots (6.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Pioneros de Cancun have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Jan 2024, it finished Pioneros de Cancun 2-1 Reboceros de La Piedad.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 59% against the records' 35%.
The read. No firm call: Pioneros de Cancun are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pioneros de Cancun the likelier winners; Pioneros de Cancun are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, rated 76% (Pioneros de Cancun: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Reboceros de La Piedad: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Pioneros de Cancun 2-1 Reboceros de La Piedad (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Pioneros de Cancun the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Pioneros de Cancun: no win in their last three league games (L D D W W). Reboceros de La Piedad: up and down in the league (L W L W L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).