Match details. Sergipano, Serie A2, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Flamengo SE are 5th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Estanciano. A win would take them above Estanciano. Caninde SE are 3rd on 4 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Maruinense. A win would take them above Maruinense.
Form. Flamengo SE have won one, drawn none and lost six of their last seven league games, 0.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. Caninde SE have won three, drawn one and lost three of their last seven league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. Flamengo SE score 0.9 and concede two a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Flamengo SE average 11.3 shots (5.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 4.3 cards a game. Caninde SE score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. Caninde SE average 4.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
Head to head. Caninde SE have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Oct 2025, it finished Flamengo SE 0-1 Caninde SE.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Caninde SE are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Caninde SE the likelier winners; Caninde SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Caninde SE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, rated 88% (Flamengo SE: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Caninde SE: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Predicted score: Flamengo SE 1-2 Caninde SE (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Caninde SE the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).