Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Correcaminos Uat II are 5th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with Delfines Coatzacoalcos. A win would take them above Delfines Coatzacoalcos. Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos are 4th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with Correcaminos UAT II.
Form. CF Correcaminos Uat II have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition CF Correcaminos Uat II have gone W L W W W W. Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos have gone W W W D D W.
The numbers. CF Correcaminos Uat II score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Correcaminos Uat II average 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos average 4.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, rated 86% (CF Correcaminos Uat II: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: CF Correcaminos Uat II Under 1.5 Goals at 1.64. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CF Correcaminos Uat II 1-1 Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Deportivo Delfines Coatzacoalcos the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. CF Correcaminos Uat II: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).