Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real Madrid C have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. Real Valladolid Promesas have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Real Madrid C score 0.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Real Madrid C average 9.9 shots (2.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Real Valladolid Promesas score 2.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Real Valladolid Promesas average 11.7 shots (4.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. Real Valladolid Promesas to win. A tight game. Real Valladolid Promesas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Valladolid Promesas.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Madrid C 1-2 Real Valladolid Promesas (9% chance).
The agreed story. Real Valladolid Promesas or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. Real Madrid C: up and down in the league (W L D D L). Real Valladolid Promesas: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Real Valladolid Promesas or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
RV 5 of 5 (100%) · RM 8 of 10 (80%)89.6%
Real Valladolid Promesas scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid C trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level
Real Madrid C (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 7 of 9 (78%) · RV 7 of 10 (70%)73.9%
Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
Real Valladolid Promesas or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RV 8 of 10 (80%) · RM 9 of 9 (100%)62%
Real Valladolid Promesas: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level
Real Valladolid Promesas (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.10
RV 6 of 8 (75%) · RM 4 of 5 (80%)56.5%
Real Valladolid Promesas won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Real Madrid C lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 78% · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level · won 1, refunded 5, lost 2
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 9 of 9 (100%) · RV 7 of 10 (70%)94.5%
Real Madrid C: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 9 of 9 (100%) · RV 7 of 10 (70%)88.7%
Real Madrid C: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 5 of 9 (56%) · RV 10 of 10 (100%)75.3%
Real Madrid C: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 9 of 9 (100%) · RV 7 of 10 (70%)70.2%
Real Madrid C: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
REAL VALLADOLID PROMESAS GOALS
Real Valladolid Promesas Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RV 9 of 10 (90%) · RM 4 of 9 (44%)59.5%
Real Valladolid Promesas scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid C conceded in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 9 of 9 (100%) · RV 7 of 10 (70%)86%
Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 9 of 9 (100%) · RV 5 of 10 (50%)76%
Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 5 of 9 (56%) · RV 8 of 10 (80%)67.8%
Real Madrid C: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 4 of 7 (57%) · RV 9 of 10 (90%)73.6%
Real Madrid C's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas's games: over 6.5 corners in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RM 5 of 7 (71%) · RV 8 of 10 (80%)75.7%
Real Madrid C's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Valladolid Promesas's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Real Madrid C: only games against sides at Real Valladolid Promesas's level · Real Valladolid Promesas: only games against sides at Real Madrid C's level
Left off the list: Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (54%) and the records (75%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.8%
Real Madrid C goals →
Real Valladolid… goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL MADRID CLDDLLDDDLW0.80 PPG
REAL VALLADOLID PROMESASWWLWLWDWDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL MADRID C HOMExREAL VALLADOLID PROMESAS AWAY
0.30SCORED A GAME2.400.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.14CORNERS A GAME4.302.57CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.75POINTS A GAME1.70-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.28LEAGUE GAMES10
Real Valladolid Promesas: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
REAL VALLADOLID PROMESAS 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
31%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
REAL MADRID C OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
REAL VALLADOLID PROMESAS OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
REAL MADRID CxREAL VALLADOLID PROMESAS
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME2.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.801.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Real Madrid C have scored in 30% of their games.
Real Valladolid Promesas have scored in 90% of their games.
Real Madrid C kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Real Valladolid Promesas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards