THE READ
Match details. Indian Super League. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chennaiyin FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L D L. East Bengal FC have won two, drawn none and lost none of their last two league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last two in the league, newest first: W W.
The numbers. Chennaiyin FC score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Chennaiyin FC average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. East Bengal FC score 4.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last two, with one clean sheet. East Bengal FC average 16.2 shots (6.3 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. East Bengal FC to win. East Bengal FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour East Bengal FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Chennaiyin FC 0-1 East Bengal FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. East Bengal FC or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
East Bengal FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
EAS 5 of 6 (83%) · CHE 10 of 10 (100%)75%
East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
East Bengal FC win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.12
EAS 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)69.9%
East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Chennaiyin FC (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
CHE 7 of 10 (70%) · EAS 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or East Bengal FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
EAS 6 of 6 (100%) · CHE 9 of 10 (90%)68.7%
East Bengal FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
East Bengal FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
EAS 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 6 of 7 (86%)56.8%
East Bengal FC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Chennaiyin FC lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level · won 4, refunded 5, lost 1
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
CHE 6 of 10 (60%) · EAS 5 of 6 (83%)53.1%
Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.87
CHE 7 of 10 (70%) · EAS 4 of 6 (67%)49.2%
Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
East Bengal FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
EAS 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 6 of 10 (60%)44.2%
East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
East Bengal FC 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
EAS 3 of 5 (60%) · CHE 4 of 6 (67%)44.2%
East Bengal FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC trailed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
GOALS
no price yet
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · EAS 4 of 6 (67%)92.7%
Chennaiyin FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
1.21
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · EAS 5 of 6 (83%)86.2%
Chennaiyin FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
1.52
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · EAS 3 of 6 (50%)71.3%
Chennaiyin FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
CHENNAIYIN FC GOALS
Chennaiyin FC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
CHE 10 of 10 (100%) · EAS 6 of 6 (100%)87.6%
Chennaiyin FC scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Chennaiyin FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
CHE 10 of 10 (100%) · EAS 5 of 6 (83%)65.1%
Chennaiyin FC scored under 1.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
EAST BENGAL FC GOALS
East Bengal FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
EAS 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 7 of 10 (70%)76.4%
East Bengal FC scored in 4 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
East Bengal FC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.31
EAS 4 of 6 (67%) · CHE 8 of 10 (80%)64.2%
East Bengal FC scored under 2.5 in 4 of 6 away · Chennaiyin FC conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
CHE 10 of 10 (100%) · EAS 5 of 6 (83%)89.4%
Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
CHE 5 of 10 (50%) · EAS 4 of 6 (67%)57.2%
Chennaiyin FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · on half-time scores · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
CORNERS
Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · EAS 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%
Chennaiyin FC's games: over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC's games: over 8.5 corners in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 73% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
CARDS
no price yet
CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · EAS 6 of 6 (100%)90%
Chennaiyin FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · East Bengal FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Chennaiyin FC: only games against sides at East Bengal FC's level
Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: East Bengal FC (the numbers (42%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); East Bengal FC or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (73%) and the records (97%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)