THE READ
Match details. Mineiro, Segunda Divisao. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. AE Paracatu have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG have won four, drawn none and lost three of their last seven, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. AE Paracatu score two and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. AE Paracatu average 14.5 shots (6.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG score 1.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG average 12.8 shots (5.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
The case against. Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. AE Paracatu to win. A tight game. AE Paracatu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AE Paracatu. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AE Paracatu 1-0 Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG (13% chance).
The agreed story. AE Paracatu or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AE Paracatu or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 5 of 5 (100%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)84.3%
AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG (0:2 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SAO 7 of 7 (100%) · AEP 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level
AE Paracatu (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
AEP 6 of 8 (75%) · SAO 3 of 7 (43%)59.9%
AE Paracatu won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 1
AE Paracatu or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 3 of 5 (60%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)49.4%
AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
AE Paracatu or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 3 of 5 (60%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)49.4%
AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
GOALS
no price yet
AEP 5 of 5 (100%) · SAO 6 of 7 (86%)93.9%
AE Paracatu: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
no price yet
AEP 4 of 5 (80%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)78.4%
AE Paracatu: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
no price yet
AEP 4 of 5 (80%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)76.7%
AE Paracatu: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
no price yet
AEP 3 of 5 (60%) · SAO 7 of 7 (100%)65.3%
AE Paracatu: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
AE PARACATU GOALS
AE Paracatu Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 3 of 5 (60%) · SAO 5 of 7 (71%)49.4%
AE Paracatu scored in 3 of 5 at home · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 5 of 6 (83%) · SAO 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 5 of 6 (83%) · SAO 3 of 5 (60%)72.7%
AE Paracatu: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
CORNERS
Over 9.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AEP 5 of 6 (83%) · SAO 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
AE Paracatu's games: over 9.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's games: over 9.5 corners in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
CARDS
no price yet
AEP 5 of 6 (83%) · SAO 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
AE Paracatu's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · AE Paracatu: only games against sides at Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG's level · Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG: only games against sides at AE Paracatu's level
Left off the list: 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (69%) and the records (90%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Both Teams to Score - No (the numbers (55%) and the records (79%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
AE Paracatu have scored in 70% of their games.
Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG have scored in 57% of their games.
AE Paracatu kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Sao Joao Del Rei EC MG kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.