SUSAT

12:00Sun 8 Nov

CHI

Satun United FC vs Chiangmai United

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Thai League 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Satun United FC are 5th on 15 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Kanchanaburi, level on points with Nakhon Ratchasima FC. A win would take them above Kanchanaburi. Chiangmai United are 10th on 12 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Chainat, level on points with Esan Pattaya. A win would take them above Chainat.

Form. Satun United FC have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D D W. In this competition Satun United FC have gone D W D D W L. Chiangmai United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D L W.

The numbers. Satun United FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Satun United FC average 10.9 shots (4.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Chiangmai United score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chiangmai United average 8.0 shots (4.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 39%.

The read. No firm call: Satun United FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Satun United FC the likelier winners; Satun United FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Satun United FC 1-1 Chiangmai United (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Satun United FC the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Chiangmai United: no win in their last three league games (D D L L W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Chiangmai United (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHI 4 of 5 (80%) · SAT 4 of 5 (80%)79.4%

Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Satun United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level

Satun United FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 5 of 5 (100%) · CHI 5 of 5 (100%)68.7%

Satun United FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Chiangmai United or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHI 4 of 5 (80%) · SAT 4 of 5 (80%)61.4%

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)55.5%

Satun United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Satun United FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 3 of 5 (60%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)55%

Satun United FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Satun United FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%

Satun United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Satun United FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 3 of 5 (60%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)49.1%

Satun United FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)97%

Satun United FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)92%

Satun United FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 3 of 5 (60%)76.3%

Satun United FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 3 of 5 (60%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)73.7%

Satun United FC: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

SATUN UNITED FC GOALS

Satun United FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAT 3 of 5 (60%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)59.9%

Satun United FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

OTHER

GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES

1.10

SAT 4 of 5 (80%) · CHI 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%

Satun United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Chiangmai United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Satun United FC: only games against sides at Chiangmai United's level · Chiangmai United: only games against sides at Satun United FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Satun United FC goals →

Chiangmai United goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SATUN UNITED FCLWWLWDDWD1.67 PPG

CHIANGMAI UNITEDWLWWLWLDDD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SATUN UNITED FC HOMExCHIANGMAI UNITED AWAY

1.78SCORED A GAME1.401.22CONCEDED A GAME1.2044%CLEAN SHEETS20%22%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.11CORNERS A GAME3.102.67CARDS A GAME2.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

PRICE NOT KEPT

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SATUN UNITED FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

CHIANGMAI UNITED OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Satun United FC have scored in 78% of their games.

Chiangmai United have scored in 70% of their games.

Satun United FC kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games.

Chiangmai United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards