BRAZIL - CARIOCA, SERIE B1
19:00Sat 7 Nov
NIT
NIT
Macae Esporte FC RJ vs Niteroiense
CLASS E
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84
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
Macae Esporte FC RJ v Niteroiense
1.25odds
80%book
+4edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Macae Esporte FC RJ have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L L. Niteroiense have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Macae Esporte FC RJ score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Macae Esporte FC RJ average 2.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Niteroiense score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Niteroiense average 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 83% (Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Niteroiense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Macae Esporte FC RJ 1-1 Niteroiense (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Macae Esporte FC RJ the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Macae Esporte FC RJ (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · NIT 3 of 5 (60%)82.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Niteroiense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)72%
Niteroiense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Macae Esporte FC RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · NIT 4 of 5 (80%)68.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 4 of 5 (80%)58.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Niteroiense or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 7 of 9 (78%)51.7%
Niteroiense scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Macae Esporte FC RJ trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.25
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · NIT 5 of 5 (100%)65.3%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.69
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 4 of 5 (80%)58.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
MAC 2 of 5 (40%) · NIT 5 of 5 (100%)50.3%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 3 of 5 (60%)50.3%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: not both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: not both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
NITEROIENSE GOALS
Niteroiense Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.73
NIT 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)50.3%
Niteroiense scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Macae Esporte FC RJ conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Niteroiense Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 2 of 5 (40%)38.7%
Niteroiense scored in 3 of 5 away · Macae Esporte FC RJ conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 5 of 5 (100%)91%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · NIT 3 of 5 (60%)72.7%
Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level
Left off the list: Niteroiense 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Niteroiense (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (45%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14%
Macae Esporte FC RJ goals →
Niteroiense goals ↓
0-011%
1-011%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MACAE ESPORTE FC RJLDWLLWDLWL1.10 PPG
NITEROIENSELLWLWWWWDW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MACAE ESPORTE FC RJ HOMExNITEROIENSE AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.201.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%BOTH SCORED30%30%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.57CORNERS A GAME4.892.86CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Macae Esporte FC RJ have scored in 50% of their games.
Niteroiense have scored in 70% of their games.
Macae Esporte FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Niteroiense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards