ENECN

19:00Sat 7 Nov

AAC

EC Nova Cidade RJ vs AA Carapebus RJ

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. EC Nova Cidade RJ have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L D W. AA Carapebus RJ have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L L L.

The numbers. EC Nova Cidade RJ score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. EC Nova Cidade RJ average 6.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. AA Carapebus RJ score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AA Carapebus RJ average 3.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The case against. AA Carapebus RJ's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. EC Nova Cidade RJ to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make EC Nova Cidade RJ the likelier winners; EC Nova Cidade RJ are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: EC Nova Cidade RJ 2-1 AA Carapebus RJ (9% chance).

The agreed story. EC Nova Cidade RJ or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

EC Nova Cidade RJ or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

EC Nova Cidade RJ or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)90%

EC Nova Cidade RJ: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 3 of 5 (60%)69.3%

EC Nova Cidade RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.93

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 3 of 5 (60%)66%

EC Nova Cidade RJ: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

EC NOVA CIDADE RJ GOALS

EC Nova Cidade RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

EC Nova Cidade RJ scored in 4 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · AAC 4 of 5 (80%)80%

EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

EC Nova Cidade RJ goals →

AA Carapebus RJ goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

EC NOVA CIDADE RJLLLDWDLLDL0.60 PPG

AA CARAPEBUS RJWDLLLLLDLL0.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EC NOVA CIDADE RJ HOMExAA CARAPEBUS RJ AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME0.901.30CONCEDED A GAME2.1040%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.50CORNERS A GAME3.782.60CARDS A GAME2.67

TRENDS

EC Nova Cidade RJ have scored in 50% of their games.

AA Carapebus RJ have scored in 50% of their games.

EC Nova Cidade RJ kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

AA Carapebus RJ kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards