Budapest Honved FC vs Pecsi MFC
Match details. NB I, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Budapest Honved FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W W. Pecsi MFC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. Budapest Honved FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Budapest Honved FC average 3.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Pecsi MFC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pecsi MFC average 3.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 84% against the records' 37%.
The read. No firm call: Budapest Honved FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Budapest Honved FC the likelier winners; Budapest Honved FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Budapest Honved FC 1-1 Pecsi MFC (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Budapest Honved FC the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Budapest Honved FC in their last cup games: lost 1-3 at Gyirmot FC Gyor (a division below). Pecsi MFC in their last cup games: won 4-2 v Kisvarda FC (2 divisions above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).